Posted on 07/04/2019 8:40:33 PM PDT by nwrep
Texas demographics today are strikingly similar to those of California in 1990, before Democrats began their seven to nothing streak of Golden State victories in presidential races. Like California in 1990, the Texas population currently hovers around 29 million and is changing rapidly in light of heavy immigration from Mexico. The second generation children of Mexican immigrants have played a major role in keeping California out of Republican reach. This same transformation is taking root in Texas.
Young Texas voters overwhelmingly turned out for Beto O’Rourke over incumbent Ted Cruz in the Senate race last year. O’Rourke beat Cruz with 18 year olds to 24 year olds by a margin of 68 percent to 32 percent and with 25 year olds to 29 year olds by a margin of 73 percent to 26 percent. O’Rourke also outperformed the traditional edge Democrats already have among Texas Latino voters by a wide margin of 64 percent to 35 percent.
With these second generation Mexican Americans strongly supporting Democrats at the polls, Texas changing to a purple state could not happen at a more inconvenient time for Trump. His margin in the state in 2016 was the smallest for a Republican nominee since the poor showing of Bob Dole in Texas in 1996. Considering the immense and enduring new wave of left leaning voters that O’Rourke attracted, there is a real chance that Texas will be close enough in 2020 that Republicans cannot take it for granted.
Republicans are already walking a tightrope between the 2018 midterm results and changing demographic realities. In many ways, the resources used to keep Texas red next year are balanced by the fates in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. Several campaign stops or a late ad buy could mean the difference in the race. Trump could see his electoral chances go to hell, if Democrats spend more time and money in Texas
Well, now we know who her friends are.
The South in general will fall. People cut and run from up north to better climate and cheaper 'living' down south all the time.
...and goal. The “why” behind the illegal push.
2014.
It may seem hard to believe, but only five years ago the GOP had a larger majority in Congress than it did even after the historic “Republican Revolution” tidal wave of 1994.
We can talk all we want about demographics, but there is nothing that says the GOP can’t generate support among recent immigrants. In fact, the historical trend is for many of these immigrant groups to grow more conservative as they assimilate and hate paying taxes for lazy bums just like the rest of us do.
Don’t be a Debby Downer.
Best case scenario is House GOP and Trump 2nd term.
Todo list:
New voter law outlaws absentee ballots, same day voting, ballot harvesting, no early voting
New Healthcare law and layoff all Obamacare bureaucracy.
Privatize USPS and TSA and air controllers.
Restrictions on public unions if not abolition.
Move some bureaucracy out to flyover country.
Consolidate Departments and agencies, layoff mega bureaucrats.
“Their answer,,,,this is Texas. Our Mexicans are different. Sure they are.”
While I am sure that there are Hispanics, many of them in Texas that are loyal Americans. And when you look at the Border Patrol, it’s heavily Hispanic. But the illegal migration that has all but finished off California, is working the same way in Texas. Plus, thanks to Katrina, Houston and the Gulf Coast of Texas has had an “injection” of low on the totem pole Blacks, who have found a new place to take their morning dump, and are not going home. And all of them, whether they work or not, are really good at producing children, and they are also really good at crime.
That list is normal gop you got there. You left out the wall and getting rid of illegals.
Also hammer rats this election cycle on sanctuary cities and states.
“We can talk all we want about demographics, but there is nothing that says the GOP can’t generate support among recent immigrants.”
True, but the “Second Republican Revolution” as you call it, gave us a bunch of feckless turds, who have failed to deliver ( or more probably didn’t ever intend to deliver in the first place because their donors call their tunes). The Wells of both the House and Senate are like a sewage treatment ponds, with 535 turds floating around trying to look busy.(Ever watch the Senate take a vote? Don’t do it on a full stomach) I suspect that this is why they don’t support the President, because he has shown them for what they are, and like the cockroaches they are, they don’t appreciate the “light.” And they don’t like him because “he isn’t one of them” and that means he’s the best President probably EVER!
It all depends on citizenship to vote enforcement.
He ran a really, really stupid campaign this last time and had to be bailed out by Trump.
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California was once the most conservative state.
If it can happen, it will!
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The problem in AZ is much like CA.
Massive vote fraud.
I find comments like yours disgusting. It is such a small town like prejudice showing you are better than the other poster because they are fairly new. It really is no better than an Antifa like comment...let’s intimidate and then we’ll see. Revolting.
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Cruz’ and Trump’s profiles are almost identical, even though their professional backgrounds are so different.
Virginia used to be reliably Republican until around 10 years ago. Texas probably has until 2024 or so, then it’ll become a swing state like Florida.
I doubt it.
They will figure it out after Texas turns blue. It happened in California quickly and will do the same in Texas. Not in 2020, but sometime after that and after Texas flips, it’s not going to flip back. We have seen the cities flip to blue and now a dark blue and the suburbs a bit less red.
ReallY? Tell that to those republicans whose seats flipped in 2018 to give Pelosi the gavel. Where I live, the democrats have been chomping at the bit to vote in 2020 since the day after the 2016 election. They couldn’t care less who the nominee is...energized beyond reason.
Young Texas voters overwhelmingly turned out for Beto O’Rourke over incumbent Ted Cruz in the Senate race last year. O’Rourke beat Cruz with 18 year olds to 24 year olds by a margin of 68 percent to 32 percent and with 25 year olds to 29 year olds by a margin of 73 percent to 26 percent. O’Rourke also outperformed the traditional edge Democrats already have among Texas Latino voters by a wide margin of 64 percent to 35 percent.
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Well, I’m sure Senator Beto will help the Dems clinch Texas. Wait? What? He’s not senator?
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