“the downside for Trump is minimal”
Except for the very real physical threats against Trump in jail and his murder. Would he he be surrounded by Secret Service?
For now yes, SS will be there.
Democrats are working on a bill to strip Trump of SS protection:
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4232384/posts
Would he he be surrounded by Secret Service?
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Of course he rates SS protection, which point out what a huge nightmare jailing him would be.
Yet another reason to give the judge pause... no way he wants to be responsible for putting Trump in harm's way.
Biden probably has a BS reason to pull Trumps SS security if he is jailed.