Posted on 08/25/2006 12:40:57 PM PDT by Bob J
In an Election 2006 conference sponsored by Paul Weyrich and the Free Congess Foundation this afternoon, panelist Robert Novak stated that based on his and others significant research he believed the GOP would lose between 27-30 seats in the House this fall.
Other panelists inlcuded John Fund, Kate O'Bierne and John Gizzy. A replay of the one hour conference can be heard at www.Rightalk.com , which webcast the event. click on "The Right Hour" logo.
Based on what, a feeling? I'll wait for the votes to ve counted.
Did someone slip something into his metamucil?
Novak does everything he can to depress GOP turnout. But it's not gonna work.
Hasn't this been "news" since 2002?
You're kidding, right?
Can anyone name a few things this administration has done for CONSERVATIVES lately? Bush is running out the clock like his old man. We seem to do better out of power anyway.
One thing is certain...the GOP won't gain any House seats. If the GOP loses 7-8 seats, then I'll consider it a successful election. On the Senate side, if the GOP loses only 1 or 2 seats, I'll consider that a success.
The stuff he puts in his pipe is frying his brain again....they keep telling him "Cherry Blend" and he keeps thinking "Hairy Bend"...poor guy, keeps going like this and he won't have any idea where 'pluto' went....
For example, if there is a major attack or even a major security breach here in the U.S. or even in Britain, it could definitly be a reminder to affect the vote in our favor. I think the arrests in Britain recently may be favorable in our direction to the November vote.
Another factor in our favor -- when it comes time to pull that lever in the porivacy of the voting both, if one is concerned at all about the safety of ones family in the age of Terrorism, what have the Dims offered? Nothing! As Mark Steyn said, they haven't even bought a ticket to the War on Terror ...
Bookmark to compare the results.
Closer results? The last two generic Congressional polls showed GOP -2 and dead even results.
Good idea.
Bookmarked.
That's what I was referring to!
The party leaders always have to claim things like that. It's the pundits and pollsters whose results are more interesting, and who people actually give some credit to during the campaign. Pelosi and Reid today are talking about Democrats winning in races that even Novak, with his outdated perspective, would say are hopeless for the Democrats.
I'll take Michael Barone any day. Him I actually pay attention to.
Iowa Electronic Markets are driven only by money.
No emotion.
No bias.
No spin.
Only the profit motive.
Futures contracts on the US House of Representatives in 2006.
They have been a better predictor than any poll.
"Republicans Hold House" has just pulled ahead. 47.5%
"Republicans Lose House" is at 44%
"Republicans Gain Seats" is at 8.5%
http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/graphs/graph_HOUSE06.cfm
Bob Novack was on Fox earlier today saying we need to negotiate with Iran and Syria. I was stunned. What's happened to him?
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