Posted on 09/26/2022 6:19:17 AM PDT by devane617
Is politics at play with hurricane IAN models?
IMO the Feds would LOVE a reason to bash DeSantis..
I got a kick out of the named storm in the Northeast. Always had Nor’Easters and had the Blizzard of ‘78 but never had named storms when I grew up in Mass..
Jalousie windows and Tarrazzo floors...Those we’re the days. Florida design at its finest.
I was looking at a weather path prediction and it was called a spaghetti model. I immediately thought, why drag Italians in on this?
There is a low pressure trough in the OH KY area that could steer IAN to the east, which is the European model. The North American models predict that the trough will not have as much of an impact, so IAN would would head north to the panhandle. The NA and European models are frequently different so I wouldn’t attribute anything political to it.
Considering that they started making landfall projections when it was just a tropical wave, hundreds of miles away, with a cold front coming from a long ways up north, it looks like they did a pretty good job. Hurricane predictions will always be slightly ahead of the ability to be exactly accurate. That’s just the way it is. I don’t get the politics you mention. It is going to hit Florida, models or no models, and no matter what Desantis does it will not be enough for the liberal media or politicians.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/ is usually pretty good. You can go to https://spaghettimodels.com/, but the tracking the links go to tropical tidbits.
if there is damage in Florida, and/or any issues with getting aid to victims, the media will blame DeSantis.
And just in general, when a hurricane hits, the media go into global warming mode as well, and push global warming.
LOL! We rented a house in Cocoa Beach on one of the canals for about 3 years and it had awesome Tarrazo floors throughout the house. 🌴🏖️ One 4th of July, on a Wed. the AC went down and on Monday prior and, well, you can guess. Again, we survived.
GFS and Euro both were predicting this a week ago. I was watching.
I’m expecting them to create “issues” getting Fed help in..
Thank you so much.
Hey rktman. I remember riding those storms out to. Luckily we live on the Viera side of Rockledge and never lost power since the lines are buried. In the future...just give a shout, we can assist.
LOL! Thanks. Probably won’t have any issues in Nevada any time soon. At least from hurricanes.
What are you talking about? The GFS and Euro models are in agreement now.
**********************************************
They are really not yet. Although, they are getting closer. Here is the latest from the NHC. The Euro models have been a better predictor, so I expect it to shift a little more east on the next update.
“Although the track guidance is in good agreement during the first
48 hours, there is still significant spread after that time. The
UKMET and ECWMF are still on the eastern side of the guidance and
show a track very near or over the west-central coast of Florida
while the GFS, HWRF, and HMON, and GFS ensemble mean are on the
western side with a track toward Appalachia Bay.”
They’re not called “spaghetti maps” for nothing.
No politics, just weather people CYA.
I wanted “real” Tarrazo floors put in our current home and it was almost impossible to find a true Tarrazo floor installer. The cost was astronomical but someday we may do it...
Save up! 😲😂✌
This conspiracy trash is getting insane.
No one is “messing with the models.”
They are OFTEN all over the map. There were storms names storms with model guidance all over the map earlier this year.
The NHC cone is smaller for Ian than it has been for many other storms in the past.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.