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Antarctic ice models “not correct”, sea level rise “complicated”
Watts Up With That? ^ | March 9, 2011 | Anthony Watts

Posted on 03/09/2011 8:54:27 AM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach

There’s some surprising reaction to the press release we covered on WUWT recently.

Here’s some excerpts:

Knowing how the massive ice sheets atop  Antarctica and Greenland work is key to
predicting how global warming could raise sea  levels and flood coastal cities. But a new study  upends what scientists thought they knew. It  turns out it’s not just ancient snow that makes  up the ice sheets, but water deep under the  sheets also thaws and refreezes over time.

To put it in non-scientific terms, lead scientist  Robin Bell told msnbc.com, the study
redefines “how squishy” the base of ice sheets can be. “This matters to how fast ice will flow and how fast ice sheets will change.”

“It also means that ice sheet models are not correct,” she said, comparing it to “trying to
figure out how a car will drive but forgetting to  add the tires. The performance will be very
different if you are driving on the rims.”

Reporting in this week’s issue of the peer-reviewed journal Science, Bell and his team
described how ice-penetrating radar peeled  back two miles of ice a million years old in the

center of Antarctica.


TOPICS: Conspiracy; Science; Weather
KEYWORDS: antarctica; climatechange; globalwarming; globalwarminghoax; lakevostok
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1 posted on 03/09/2011 8:54:32 AM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach
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To: NormsRevenge; steelyourfaith; Grampa Dave; SierraWasp; tubebender; Carry_Okie; Brad's Gramma; ...

more on the East Antarctica ice sheet.


2 posted on 03/09/2011 8:58:30 AM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach ( Support Geert Wilders)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Take a glass. Fill it with ice cubes. Add water until the ice reaches the rim. What happens when the ice melts? Does the glass overflow with water?


3 posted on 03/09/2011 9:00:56 AM PST by ReverendJames (Only A Painter Or A Liberal Can Change Black To White.)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach; Entrepreneur; tubebender; mmanager; Fiddlstix; Fractal Trader; FrPR; ...
Thanx for the ping Ernest_at_the_Beach !

 


Beam me to Planet Gore !

4 posted on 03/09/2011 9:03:36 AM PST by steelyourfaith ("Eternal vigilance is the price of liberty." -- Wendell Phillips)
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To: ReverendJames

“Take a glass. Fill it with ice cubes. Add water until the ice reaches the rim. What happens when the ice melts? Does the glass overflow with water?”

That’s only true for ice floating in water (like the Arctic). In the antarctic the ice is sitting on land.


5 posted on 03/09/2011 9:04:54 AM PST by Hacklehead (Liberalism is the art of taking what works, breaking it, and then blaming conservatives.)
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To: ReverendJames

Not sure where you are going with that....the Ice Sheet is not in water.


6 posted on 03/09/2011 9:05:57 AM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach ( Support Geert Wilders)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
More :


This radar image shows part of the East Antarctic ice sheet (top), a bulge of refrozen ice (center), and the profile of a mountain range buried deep below (outlined in red). Full story plus an interactive tool here

 
i
 

7 posted on 03/09/2011 9:09:17 AM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach ( Support Geert Wilders)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
I really don't give a sheet...

GWCRAP
8 posted on 03/09/2011 9:11:40 AM PST by FrankR (The Evil Are Powerless If The Good Are Unafraid! - R. Reagan)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach; Hacklehead
Correct. But the article apparently is referring to ice sheet over water...
"but water deep under the sheets"
9 posted on 03/09/2011 9:11:54 AM PST by moehoward
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

It’s an experiment. If the ice sheet melts in entirety nothing will happen. When the earth was formed, some water remained liquid and some froze. It’s the same amount of water in either case. The oceans will not rise, the glass will not overflow.


10 posted on 03/09/2011 9:15:50 AM PST by ReverendJames (Only A Painter Or A Liberal Can Change Black To White.)
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To: Hacklehead

But it’s the same amount of water that was around at the beginning of the earth. Some was liquid, some froze and some is gas (i.e. vapor).


11 posted on 03/09/2011 9:17:15 AM PST by ReverendJames (Only A Painter Or A Liberal Can Change Black To White.)
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To: moehoward
No...the article is speaking of ice sheets sitting on top of landmasses with water sandwiched in between.

It's pointing out that there is a water layer at times b/w the land and ice and that sometimes it can be pretty deep.

12 posted on 03/09/2011 9:20:30 AM PST by NELSON111
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To: ReverendJames

“It’s an experiment. If the ice sheet melts in entirety nothing will happen. When the earth was formed, some water remained liquid and some froze. It’s the same amount of water in either case. The oceans will not rise, the glass will not overflow.”

The amount of water is the same but during ice ages the sea level decreases as more ice is located on land. That’s what causes land bridges to form between continents.


13 posted on 03/09/2011 9:25:47 AM PST by Hacklehead (Liberalism is the art of taking what works, breaking it, and then blaming conservatives.)
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To: NELSON111

“It’s pointing out that there is a water layer at times b/w the land and ice and that sometimes it can be pretty deep.”

The issue is further complicated because the weight of the ice pushes the land mass down. That may mean the land is below sea level which would reduce the amount of sea level rise when the ice melts. However, some think that if the ice melts the land mass will rise and that would increase the sea level. All this is hypothetical anyway since the ice isnt melting.


14 posted on 03/09/2011 9:31:29 AM PST by Hacklehead (Liberalism is the art of taking what works, breaking it, and then blaming conservatives.)
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To: ReverendJames
Sorry...but that is incorrect. If we were to dip into an ice age...and glaciers were to come sweeping down into the central US...and into Europe...the sea level would drop. Why? Because all the moisture being evaporated from the oceans in the hydrological cycle is being locked up in ice. Now...once all those glaciers melt...the sea level would rise.

Same thing here...if you free up (in theory) all the fresh water locked up in ice at the north and south poles...melt it...the sea level will rise. Will that happen? No way...but what you are saying about NOTHING happening is false.

Here's an experiment. Get a 20 gallon aquarium. Fill it with small gravel so that they are at a 45 degree angle up the side of the tank. Fill it 1/2 with water. Mark the level of water. Now...on the "dry side" of the tank...put a bunch of ice on top of the gravel. Let the ice melt.

Did the water in the tank rise? You bet.

Same thing would happen with the earth.

15 posted on 03/09/2011 9:32:28 AM PST by NELSON111
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
sea level rise “complicated"

It certainly is. You need someone who has spent years studying sea level to give you the inside scoop.

Claim That Sea Level Is Rising Is a Total Fraud - Dr. Nils-Axel Morner

16 posted on 03/09/2011 9:33:05 AM PST by TigersEye (Who crashed the markets on 9/15/08 and why?)
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To: Hacklehead
That is really one of the issues in sea level changes. How do you account for tectonic changes? Subduction zones...etc...are a far bigger player in sea level changes than ice...IMO.
17 posted on 03/09/2011 9:34:47 AM PST by NELSON111
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
she said, comparing it to “trying to figure out how a car will drive but forgetting to add the tires

AGW in a nutshell!

18 posted on 03/09/2011 9:35:48 AM PST by SouthTexas (Tea time!)
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To: ReverendJames

The thing about Antarctica is that it is a continent. The ice is piled on top of it, several miles deep in some places. Above sea level. If that ice were to melt somehow, sea level could rise somewhat. How much is probably mathematically predictable. It would still take a really long time because the sheer mass of it is incomprehensible, and the temperatures there are so far below freezing that a whole lot of warming would have to take place before it even got as high as freezing. That would mean no melting would occur for quite a while.

As to the premise of the article: It is no surprise that water would be found under ice. If there is any geothermal activity in Antarctica, some ice would melt, and since water is heavier than ice, it would stay down there. Ice is also a great insulator. It is quite possible that there are whole lakes and rivers underneath the ice cap. I would bet that bodies of water as big as Lake Tahoe could be found under the ice, in liquid form. With fish.


19 posted on 03/09/2011 9:36:14 AM PST by webheart (Just saying.....)
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To: NELSON111

But the thing is: All the water that exists now is the same amount that was around during the beginning of earth. When the glaciers extended down from the poles where did the water come from? Did continents sink? There was a story in the news how this one island in the Marshal’s was being covered by water due to climate warming. None of the other islands were being covered. The island was sinking. Water is not being created. We have the same amount since creation.


20 posted on 03/09/2011 9:39:38 AM PST by ReverendJames (Only A Painter Or A Liberal Can Change Black To White.)
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