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Should You Believe Faulty U.S. Crime Stats or Your Own Lying Eyes? It's a Tough Call
RealClearInvestigations ^ | 14 May, 2024 | James Varney

Posted on 05/15/2024 6:14:39 AM PDT by MtnClimber

Americans can be forgiven for suffering from whiplash regarding law and order.

In recent weeks the Biden administration and many news outlets, including USA Today and The Hill, have touted declines in violent crime statistics to argue that America is becoming a safer place.

“Right now, with 2023 figures and early 2024, the trends are all pointing down, in a positive direction,” Jeff Asher, whose New Orleans-based AH Datalytics is developing his own “Real-Time Crime Index,” told RealClearInvestigations.

Conservative outlets, including City Journal and the editorial page of the Wall Street Journal, assert that minor declines in headline grabbers like homicides fail to capture what is really happening in the U.S.

From 2017 to 2019, the U.S. had an average of 16,641 homicides a year. In 2021 and 2022, however, the country saw considerably more bloodshed, with an average of more than 22,000 annual homicides. Even if the 2023 number drops slightly, it will still represent a large increase over the recent past, before the pandemic and racial upheaval set in motion in 2020.

Many criminologists say this illlustrates one of the problems with the official numbers that are at the center of public debate: They give a distorted impression of true levels of crime. They note that crime stats have become notoriously incomplete in recent years. In some years many big cities did not report their numbers to the FBI, and there are such wide discrepancies in these tallies that the picture they provide has more blur than clarity.

Declining arrest rates and slowing police response times to 911 calls also help explain why polls show Americans believe crime is rising. The experts say the numbers only give some sense of lawbreaking, while most Americans – the vast majority of whom are not crime victims in a given year...

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearinvestigations.com ...


TOPICS: Society
KEYWORDS: anarchotyranny; crime; democrats; dystopia

1 posted on 05/15/2024 6:14:39 AM PDT by MtnClimber
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To: MtnClimber

Statistics and gaslighting. But, let Trump be elected and the reporting will change.


2 posted on 05/15/2024 6:16:01 AM PDT by MtnClimber (For photos of scenery and wildlife, click on my screen name for my FR home page. More photos added.)
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To: MtnClimber

There’s no doubt that the ChiComjoe kakistocracy and the Demonicrat-controlled state and local governments continue to give aid and comfort to the domestic and foreign enemies of the United States. The same goes for those who vote to elect Demonicrats.


3 posted on 05/15/2024 6:19:37 AM PDT by Carl Vehse
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To: MtnClimber

I don’t believe ANYTHING that comes from government employees.


4 posted on 05/15/2024 6:23:23 AM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (When did WE decide to make America a UN 5-Star Asylum Paradise for Socialist losers?)
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To: MtnClimber

i thought i read that state reporting to fbi was no longer mandatory as of 2022

biden’s effort to reduce crime

just reduce reporting


5 posted on 05/15/2024 6:26:40 AM PDT by joshua c
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To: MtnClimber

Stupid title.

It’s no tough call at all except for dumbasses or those isolated/ignorant Pollyannas.


6 posted on 05/15/2024 6:28:38 AM PDT by logi_cal869 (-cynicus the "concern troll" a/o 10/03/2018 /!i!! &@$%&*(@ -)
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To: MtnClimber

The crime statistics where I live show no increase. Yet I read the “Next Door” social media app almost every day and it is filled with stories of robberies and home break-ins. Stores are fleeing the local shopping mall which has been taken over by gangs of “teens”. Gunplay inside the mall or in the parking lot is not unusual. Organized gangs cruise suburban neighborhoods at night, carrying 12-14 year old minors who are turned loose to steel from unlocked cars in driveways, backyard sheds and the occasional unlocked home. If caught, the young criminals are tried in juvenile court where a progressive judge will give them a stern warning and put them back on the street.

Developers are throwing up cheap apartment buildings in this region which are immediately filled with the thousands of “migrants” being flown into the local airport. With each new migrant complex comes more petty crime and increasingly violent crime and drug activity. Now we have shootings inside the public high schools.

I believe my lying eyes, not the media, and certainly not the government.


7 posted on 05/15/2024 6:53:39 AM PDT by Soul of the South (The past is gone and cannot be changed. Tomorrow can be a better day if we work on it.)
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To: MtnClimber

As with the gov’t’s official economic numbers, crime stats are routinely manipulated to make things look rosier than they are. It’s well-known that the FBI’s crime stats classify Hispanics as minorities when they’re the victim and as whites when they’re the perpetrators. Or has that changed now that the public has caught on?


8 posted on 05/15/2024 6:55:54 AM PDT by Blurb2350 (posted from my 1500-watt blow dryer)
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To: MtnClimber

If you don’t charge someone the crime just sorta poofs.


9 posted on 05/15/2024 7:25:50 AM PDT by lastchance (Cognovit Dominus qui sunt eius.)
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To: MtnClimber

Don’t believe your gunshot wounds.


10 posted on 05/15/2024 7:43:24 AM PDT by Bonemaker (invictus maneo)
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To: MtnClimber
Here's Catturd's opinion:


11 posted on 05/15/2024 8:05:55 AM PDT by Albion Wilde (Either ‘the Deep State destroys America, or we destroy the Deep State.’ --Donald Trump)
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To: MtnClimber

The Biden admin two years ago changed the reporting requirements from mandatory to voluntary. This means that the blue cities permitting crime can cheat — like Houston did by not reporting on a quarter million violent crimes and saying that they “didn’t exist” ‘cause there were not enough coppers to investigate.
So, of course the blue cities report declining crime — they simply don’t report.
Kinda like the MSM refuses to report that the PedoPres’ own daughter just officially confirmed that the sexual abuse she suffered from him and she wrote about in her diary were true. He is a serial abuser — which sorta explains why Hunter’s laptop documents his rape of children.


12 posted on 05/15/2024 8:40:48 AM PDT by bobbo666 (Baizuo, )
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