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Analysis: Was this meant as next 9/11?
Associated Press ^ | PAUL HAVEN

Posted on 08/10/2006 9:30:55 AM PDT by 300magnum

Its scope was ruthlessly ambitious, causing destruction officials say would have been "unimaginable." The alleged plot to take down several U.S.-bound planes with liquid explosives appears to be unlike anything the world has seen in years.

Counterterrorism officials said Thursday the London plot appears to bear the fingerprints of al-Qaida, and may have been "the Big One" they have been dreading since Sept. 11, 2001, particularly as the five-year anniversary of the carnage approaches.

More than 20 people have been jailed, terror threat levels have been raised to some of their highest levels, and hundreds of flights have been canceled worldwide.

"The scope or the magnitude of this attack is much larger than previous attacks," said Rohan Gunaratna, a terrorism expert at Singapore's Institute of Defense and Strategic Studies.

He added that everything known so far points to involvement by Osama bin Laden's terror group.

"It is a classic al-Qaida tactic. It is a hallmark of al-Qaida to carry out coordinated, simultaneous attacks, and the aviation domain is certainly known to al-Qaida. They have obvious experience in working around that system and extensive knowledge of the aviation domain."

U.S. Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff echoed those sentiments, saying the attack "was sophisticated, it had a lot of members and it was international in scope." He added that: "It was in some respects suggestive of an al Qaida plot," but cautioned that the investigation was still under way.

There have been dozens of thwarted plots around the world since the Sept. 11 attacks, and several that were murderously successful. Suicide bombers killed 52 people in London on July 7, 2005, 58 in two attacks in Istanbul, Turkey, in 2003, and 202 in Bali in 2002. Islamic radicals killed 191 people in Madrid on Mar. 11, 2004, then blew themselves up days later when police were closing in.

While al-Qaida's call for global jihad clearly acted as inspiration, there has been no direct evidence that bin Laden or his No. 2, Ayman al-Zawahri, had advance knowledge of those attacks, that they helped plan them, or that they provided financial or logistical help to those who carried them out.

The group's failure to match the destruction it inflicted in the Sept. 11 attacks has led to speculation that a global dragnet that has forced bin Laden into hiding and ensnared many of his most trusted deputies may have degraded al-Qaida's abilities.

Analysts said Thursday that is a theory to be believed only at the world's peril.

The airline plan had the potential to dwarf the attacks of recent years — killing hundreds, perhaps thousands.

It also appears to have involved far more extensive planning and expertise.

Counterterrorism agents have been tracking the alleged plotters for months, and made arrests in London and its suburbs, as well as Birmingham. A British police official said the suspects appeared to be "homegrown," though it was not immediately clear if they were all British citizens.

Magnus Ranstorp, a terrorism expert at Sweden's Center for Asymmetric Threat Studies who has done extensive research into al-Qaida's efforts to recruit in Europe, said the foiled plot in Britain "could very well have been an attempt at 'the Big One.'"

Andrea Nativi, a researcher at the Rome-based Military Center for Strategic Studies, said the London plot resembled that of Sept. 11, 2001, in its ambition and was entirely different in scope from other terror schemes of recent years.

"By comparison, the London subway attacks look like child's play," he said. "The new element here is their cleverness in trying to overcome the new security systems installed after 2001 ... No one can really expect to pass security checks with explosives in their pocket, they had to look for a plan B."

Rodolfo Mendoza, a police intelligence official in the Philippines, said the "modus operandi" is the same as al-Qaida has used in the past — and he should know.

Mendoza was among the law enforcement officers involved in thwarting a plot by al-Qaida terror mastermind Ramzi Yousef — this one way back in 1995 — to use liquid explosives to blow up a dozen airliners as they flew across the Pacific Ocean to U.S. destinations, including Los Angeles, San Francisco, Honolulu and New York.

Like al-Qaida's decade-long effort to bring down the World Trade Center in New York, first in 1993 and then, disastrously, in 2001, the latest plot to blow up commercial airliners reveals the group's unwavering resolve, Mendoza said.

"These people are obsessed," he said. "They will try and try and try again to accomplish their mission."

____

EDITOR'S NOTE — Paul Haven has covered terrorism issues for The Associated Press since 2001. Reporters throughout Europe and Asia, and in the United States, contributed to this report.


TOPICS: Editorial; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: 911fifthanniversary; alqaeda; uhhhh; wot; yathink
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1 posted on 08/10/2006 9:30:57 AM PDT by 300magnum
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To: 300magnum

I hope they trace this to the Iranian Hitler.


2 posted on 08/10/2006 9:31:33 AM PDT by Fitzcarraldo
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To: 300magnum
September 11, March 11, June 11 - and this maybe (still) August 11. What is it with 11?

Lando

3 posted on 08/10/2006 9:35:30 AM PDT by Lando Lincoln (For what cause would a liberal go to war? (Revolutions don't count))
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To: 300magnum

"These people are obsessed,"

That's an understatement. They are poisoned with hatred.


4 posted on 08/10/2006 9:37:30 AM PDT by Old Grumpy
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To: Lando Lincoln

In Arabic it looks like a double l. As in u no who.


5 posted on 08/10/2006 9:37:41 AM PDT by RightWhale (Repeal the law of the excluded middle)
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To: 300magnum

Good thing that CT just dumped their defense minded Liberman just in time.


6 posted on 08/10/2006 9:38:31 AM PDT by Sax (You Done Tore Out My Heart And Stomped That Sucker Flat)
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To: Lando Lincoln

Someone posted on an earlier thread - 9/11, 8/10, 7/9.


7 posted on 08/10/2006 9:38:34 AM PDT by 300magnum (We know that if evil is not confronted, it gains in strength and audacity, and returns to strike us)
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To: 300magnum

Good work-this time.Call me a cynic but i believe it's just a matter of time before they are successful with an attack on the scale of a 911.


8 posted on 08/10/2006 9:39:34 AM PDT by Thombo2
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To: 300magnum

No, this was meant to be an 8/11. And the next one will be a 7/11, where they cause Slurpees to explode at every 7/11 nationwide. Muslims don't need a reason to harm us; they will do anything they can to hurt us. Let's kick their butts to hell.


9 posted on 08/10/2006 9:39:52 AM PDT by roadcat
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To: 300magnum

Analysis: Was this meant as next 9/11?


Meant by whom?


10 posted on 08/10/2006 9:39:58 AM PDT by WhiteGuy (It's about the People Who Count the Votes................. - Wally O'Dell)
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To: Thombo2

I agree.


11 posted on 08/10/2006 9:40:08 AM PDT by bigcat32
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To: 300magnum
Counterterrorism officials said Thursday the London plot appears to bear the fingerprints of al-Qaida

How do we know these weren't disgruntled Quakers? -sarc

12 posted on 08/10/2006 9:40:14 AM PDT by frogjerk (REUTERS: We give smoke and mirrors a bad name)
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To: 300magnum
The group's failure to match the destruction it inflicted in the Sept. 11 attacks has led to speculation that a global dragnet that has forced bin Laden into hiding and ensnared many of his most trusted deputies may have degraded al-Qaida's abilities.
WTH is this reporter talking about speculated?
13 posted on 08/10/2006 9:41:16 AM PDT by sully777 (You have flies in your eyes--Catch-22)
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To: 300magnum
Someone posted on an earlier thread - 9/11, 8/10, 7/9.

I'm sleep-deprived...what happened on 7/9?

14 posted on 08/10/2006 9:41:56 AM PDT by Allegra (FReeping LIVE! from "the other war zone.")
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To: 300magnum

A return to the Bojinka plan.


15 posted on 08/10/2006 9:43:09 AM PDT by MediaMole (9/11 - We have already forgotten.)
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To: Lando Lincoln

Interesting point.

Also, do I detect a note of astonishment in the AP story? Who on Earth could be surprised that they're out to attack us?

Just because the "hated" (by leftist idiots) Bush says there is a threat does not mean there is not one. These morons had better get with the program, or get the h*ll out of the way!

It's been said a million times, but I need to say it again, simply and bluntly:

I DO NOT TRUST DEMOCRATS OR LIBERALS TO GOVERN OR PROTECT OUR COUNTRY.


16 posted on 08/10/2006 9:43:12 AM PDT by cvq3842
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To: Lando Lincoln
9-11-01......all odd numbers
8-10-06......all even numbers

Insert earbug of Twilight Zone theme here...

17 posted on 08/10/2006 9:45:38 AM PDT by ErnBatavia (Meep Meep)
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To: Allegra

Wasn't that the date of the London attacks last year?


18 posted on 08/10/2006 9:46:12 AM PDT by kellynch (Expecto Patronum!)
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To: Lando Lincoln
and this maybe (still) August 11

You're right. The planes could have been just the beginning.

19 posted on 08/10/2006 9:47:24 AM PDT by ladyjane
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To: 300magnum

I think this is the start of something bigger.


20 posted on 08/10/2006 9:47:56 AM PDT by cripplecreek (If stupidity got us into this mess, then why can't it get us out?)
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