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Louisiana Senate Runoff Comes Down to Margin of Error
CNSNEWS.com ^ | 12/06/02 | Jeff Johnson

Posted on 12/06/2002 2:54:54 AM PST by kattracks

Capitol Hill (CNSNews.com) - The day before balloting begins in Louisiana's runoff election for the U.S. Senate seat currently held by Democrat Mary Landrieu, polls showed Landrieu and her challenger, Republican State Elections Commissioner Suzanne Haik "Suzie" Terrell, in a statistical tie.

A Mason-Dixon poll Monday showed Landrieu leading Terrell 48-43 percent. But that was before President George W. Bush visited the Pelican State Tuesday. Bush remarked that the last time he had been to the state was on Sept. 11, 2001, and said that memory caused him to again be thankful for the freedoms all Americans enjoy.

"So I'm here in the great state of Louisiana urging all the citizens, Republicans and Democrats and folks who could care less about political party, to go to the polls this Saturday.

"But I've got a suggestion," Bush continued, to laughter from the audience of Terrell supporters. "For the good of Louisiana, for the good of everybody in Louisiana, Suzie Terrell needs to be the next United States senator."

Bush added that he considers Terrell "the kind of person with whom I can work to get something done for Louisiana."

Bush's visits to Shreveport and New Orleans, highlighted by a photo opportunity with the president and Terrell stepping out of Air Force One together, achieved their apparent goal.

In a Mason-Dixon poll conducted Tuesday, Terrell was ahead of Landrieu 49-46. When the margins of error for the two polls are factored into the equation, the race is a statistical "dead heat."

Political observers predict that the contest will be decided almost solely on voter turnout. John MacGinnis, editor of a weekly newspaper on Louisiana politics, said earlier this week that "Landrieu has to get a good black turnout.

"She has to work really hard at it," MacGinnis told the Washington political newspaper The Hill.

MacGinnis criticized Landrieu's limited get out the vote effort for the general election.

"That's the reason why she fell 50,000 votes short," he suggested.

Terrell has the benefit of having a larger potential pool of voters from which to draw. While Landrieu garnered only 46 percent of the Nov. 5 vote, forcing the runoff, three Republican challengers - including Terrell - earned a combined 51 percent.

Landrieu has attempted to position herself as a "moderate" Democrat, claiming on her campaign website that she is "one of the most moderate members of the United States Senate."

That effort has been hurt by her voting record, which includes votes against the confirmation of Attorney General John Ashcroft as well as school voucher programs and medical savings accounts. Landrieu has a lifetime rating of 14 out of 100 from the American Conservative Union.

Celebrities and politicians have also turned out to help Landrieu secure her political base among African-American voters. But that list of supporters also complicates Landrieu's efforts to claim that she is not a liberal.

Civil rights activist Rev. Jesse Jackson has endorsed Landrieu, and she has campaigned with Democrats, including House Judiciary Committee Ranking Member John Conyers (Mich.), Rep. Harold Ford, Jr. (Tenn.) and Del. Eleanor Holmes Norton (D.C.), three of the most liberal members of the House.

Landrieu also introduced a House bill in the Senate to allow taxpayer dollars to fund a needle exchange program for illegal drug users in the District of Columbia, which Norton represents.

While the new Republican Senate majority will not be changed by the outcome of the Louisiana election, a Terrell victory could give Republicans more leverage should Democrats attempt to filibuster on issues such as making tax cuts permanent or confirming conservative judicial nominees.

Terrell would also help offset so-called "moderate" Republicans such as Senators Lincoln Chafee (R.I.) and Susan Collins (Maine), who frequently vote against Bush on social issues.

In the Nov. 5 election, 49.8 percent of Louisiana's registered voters cast ballots, according to the Secretary of State Fox McKeithen. He projects Saturday's turnout to be in the 40-45 percent range. Polls will open at 6 a.m. and close at 8 p.m.

E-mail a news tip to Jeff Johnson.

Send a Letter to the Editor about this article.




TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Louisiana
KEYWORDS: 2002election; congress; louisiana

1 posted on 12/06/2002 2:54:54 AM PST by kattracks
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To: kattracks
- V -
2 posted on 12/06/2002 3:28:43 AM PST by KQQL
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To: savedbygrace
@
3 posted on 12/06/2002 3:30:43 AM PST by KQQL
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To: kattracks
How does the Margin of Error compare to the Margin of Democrat Fraud in that state?
4 posted on 12/06/2002 3:31:49 AM PST by Consort
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To: KQQL
MOE? Try Margin Of Clinton.
5 posted on 12/06/2002 3:31:59 AM PST by goldstategop
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To: KQQL
I predict LA voters will be receiving mail today from Landrieu (or Landrieu supporters) that will be an effective hit piece on Terrell. A pack of lies and half-truths that will leave no time for Terrell to respond.
6 posted on 12/06/2002 3:40:08 AM PST by savedbygrace
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To: savedbygrace
Let me guess: they'll publish a hit piece disclosing Suzie Terrell had an abortion at 15. You never know what the evil trolls at the DNC will come up with next.
7 posted on 12/06/2002 3:43:07 AM PST by goldstategop
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To: kattracks; All
Click:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/801791/posts
Landrieu sends gift certificates (Critics to accuse her of trying to buy military votes)
THE WASHINGTON TIMES ^ | 12/06/2002 | By Stephen Dinan and Joyce Howard Price
...how come she never bothered to give them away until weeks after election day, when she suddenly found herself fighting for her political life? The timing absolutely reeks of vote-buying...
I think CSPAN1 is going to show Wednesday's sparsly attended Landrieu rally in a few minutes, after the Terrell rally from Tuesday showing now.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/801739/posts
Bubba [Clinton] Gives Voice to Landrieu; Edwards Goes on More Junkets
The American Prowler ^ | 12/06/02 | The Prowler
These clowns are PAYING people to vote.?!?!?! Un-flippin-believable. I hope El Rushbo and Hannitty gets hold of this tomorrow and rant/run-it for their full 3x3 hours. This is the most dispicable thing I've ever heard of in this country.
I see where Handgun Control (HCI, the Brady bunch) is supporting and promoting Mary.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/801616/posts
Landrieu holds rally, nobody shows up!
WWL TV Eyewitness News 6PM broadcast | none
Well done, great report. I hope Landrieu's plane doesn't crash before she gets whupped on Saturday. After Saturday, her 'plane' will definitely crash and burn.
 
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/800918/posts?page=26#26
Adieu to you, Landrieu.
various FR posts | 12-04-02 | The Heavy Equipment Guy
New information and links have been added at the end of the post.
 
 
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/801827/posts

8 posted on 12/06/2002 3:45:05 AM PST by backhoe
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To: kattracks
Let's call it what it is, an election within margin of error is an election that is really within the number of votes achievable by fraud.

And for those who insist that Algore "really" won the presidency because he got the popular vote, that was well within the margin of error (0.51% vote difference) but it was not worth confirming because that is not how the election is decided (would have needed a national recount (and full accounting of the absentee vote which in some states was not included in the certified totals because those states were not in contention)).

9 posted on 12/06/2002 3:49:55 AM PST by weegee
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To: backhoe
"All" must be disabled; your #8 doesn't show up in my "My Comments." I thought "All" was supposed to ping everyone who had posted in the thread. Maybe I'm wrong.
10 posted on 12/06/2002 3:52:20 AM PST by savedbygrace
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To: backhoe
Bubba [Clinton] Gives Voice to Landrieu; Edwards Goes on More Junketshttp://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/801739/posts
11 posted on 12/06/2002 4:18:24 AM PST by KQQL
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To: weegee
Terrell is state commissioner of elections.
If she loses, I would certainly demand an investigation of the election, a precinct by precinct count, and the re-qualification and certification of every vote in the state. (Yes, including the Dead.) My state was just stolen, and I know that Donna Brazile says,"Just get me close, and the election is mine."

This where the RNC should put its cute little golf-shoed foot down. Instead of spending another cent on these bogus TV commercials that have become a racket for "Political Consultants". Spend the money on lawsuits, this national disgrace must stop.

12 posted on 12/06/2002 4:40:40 AM PST by Kenny Bunk
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To: kattracks; HalfIrish; DoughtyOne; SLB; Sawdring; Scholastic; belmont_mark; Paul Ross; Alamo-Girl; ..
Terrell would also help offset so-called "moderate" Republicans such as Senators Lincoln Chafee (R.I.) and Susan Collins (Maine), who frequently vote against Bush on social issues.

That's a laugh since Terrell is the only real moderate here while Chafee and Collins and Landrieu are all lefties. I am predicting a narrow Terrell victory here tommorow and a resultant five seat GOP Senate majority. I am also predicting a GOP victory in the Louisiana House race. The bottom line is that we are going to see a return to the exact same level GOP House and Senate Majority we realized in 1994--52 GOP Senators and 230 GOP House members. After losing seats during the past three consecutive congressional elections, the newly empowered Republican Congressional majority is being given a second chance to pass the conservative agenda that it failed to pass in the 104th Congress due to Clinton's vetoes.
13 posted on 12/06/2002 7:14:11 AM PST by rightwing2
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To: kattracks
Political observers predict that the contest will be decided almost solely on voter turnout.

Duh, ...and how else could it be decided?

14 posted on 12/06/2002 7:29:01 AM PST by The Citizen Soldier
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