Actually, most polls show that people who vote on the abortion issue at more likely to vote for the pro-life candidate than the pro-abortion candidate. Lungren vote the "abortion vote" 13% to 12% according to an L.A. Times poll. This is consistent with other elections.
But you're right ... most people DON'T vote on the abortion issue. Those who do, give Simon the edge. What most people -- especially liberal Republicans -- fail to realize, is that people who are passionately pro-abortion are liberal Democrats who are liberal across the board. They would NEVER vote for a liberal Republican (or moderate Republican, whatever the press wants to call them) because these people are RABIDLY LIBERAL on guns, abortion, taxes, the environment, education, unions, etc., etc.
Simon needs to focus on the issues that are going to destroy Davis ... energy, the economy and education. The election must be about Davis' failures. Then Simon wins. Davis knows this, and that's why he wants to harp on abortion. However, it's a different year and I think that it will backfire on Davis.
Go Simon!