[tubebender]

I have high hopes for Simon in Nov but that is a life time from here.Would a win by Simon really mean Bush would carry the state? I know it would be good for fundraising for 'Pubs.

[dpwiener]

Would a win by Simon really mean Bush would carry the state?

No. However it would introduce a large enough element of doubt that Democrats would no longer be able to take California for granted. They might have to expend resources to make sure California remains safely Democratic.

Bush could win California in 2004, but only if he remains so enormously popular that he sweeps virtually every state in the union. In which case California would be irrelevant anyway.

[nickcarraway]

At the very least it would force the Dem candidate(Hillary) to spend more time and resources on California.