We can argue the numbers all day - all polls contain a margin of error for a reason. But I've seen six polls now (both registered and likely voters) - Davis' total vote percentage in order from oldest to most recent poll was 42%, 41%, 37%, 38% and 43% - then this 34% came out after the slew of "bad news for Davis" stories over the past month.
Like I said earlier, his numbers make Rod Grams' numbers look strong. Of all the incumbents in the country running for re-election, I think Grayout is the last one I'd wanna be. And that includes Bob Smith-NH and Tim Johnson-SD.
BTW, Newsweak is reporting this week that this is an upset in the making, and a visit by Laura Bush to California has already been scheduled - to be followed by the Pres if Simon's numbers hold up.
As a one-time Californian (worked for Pete Wilson in 1990), I can't wait for the final demise of Gray Davis. He is one of my least favorite politicians in years.