[goldstategop]

No. Dick Riordan remember? He couldn't even carry L.A County! And the liberal Field poll doesn't really have good news for GrayDown --- he has only a 7 point lead over Bill Simon despite his high negatives. But what the Field poll and the liberal media is NOT telling readers is that when you factor in the margin of error, GrayDown's lead is statistically insignificant. Which means in reality the election is still very much up for grabs. What irritates the San Francisco Chronicle and the rest of the mainstream media is Simon is still a viable contender and a conservative isn't supposed to have shot in liberal California! Finally the Field Poll uses a SMALL sample of likely voters and these are probably weighed heavily in GrayDown's favor, unlike virtually every other poll that shows Simon ahead. We'll see which side is right come November.

[Gophack]

The Field Poll samples based on population, not vote propensity, and they use SELF-DESCRIBED likely voters, not ACTUAL likely voters.