California?s politics is fluid, not static.
The hypothetical argument is that "California's population is fluid." By that I mean that of all the states in the union, California Culture promotes transient citizenship. For someone to be a "native born" Californian is unusual. In other states near California, being "from California" is common and a social stigma.
People move to California, get jobs, pay taxes and then leave to go somewhere else. California is no longer a state retirees move to. My Grandfather sold his farm and left North Dakota to move to California so he wouldn't have to face the terribles winters of the Great Plains. I don't see many folks retiring to California that I know. The are going to other places, where the income taxes are much lower and property values are reasonable.
When I got my graduate degree in engineering, I accepted a job with a large engineering firm in San Francisco and moved there with my wife. The project I worked on mostly was one that was being designed for construction in Washington State, where I got my engineering degree. I got my professional training there and then came back. I still remember how high the combined income taxes and sales taxes were then. I remember how expensive home ownership was and I and my peers were making really good money. I also know that there is no way I would ever move their and put up with their taxes, property costs, or anti-gun regulations. When I retire, I might consider setting up a home in some other state to get warmer climate, but it will not be California.
My college-aged son has moved to California and is going to college there. He is hoping to get good contacts that will serve him well in business. He has talked about maybe getting his first professional job in California and then quickly leaving to come back to the real world. He sees the artifical nature of living in southern California. I was talking to another friend of my son's last night. He too is enrolled in college in southern California and home for the summer. He will be graduating next year and told me he wants to get into graduate school in some other state. He wants out.
I don't see lots of business moving to California. I would argue that a lot of business has been driven from California by the nature of the litigation in the state, by the extreme environmental regulations, by the high tax rates, by the extreme salaries they must pay so people can have homes and pay the high state taxes, by the failing schools and reduced trained labor pool, and by shortages of all kinds of things from electricity to water that cause interruptions in production.
California may have had a conservative core, but I feel that core is being driven away from the state. You can't vote for conservative California politicians, if you have left for Arizona, Nevada, Oregon, or Washington. That is the real question, when it comes to California demographic trends.
"Several political professionals I have spoken with say Simon’s greatest vulnerability is that Davis will use his huge war chest for TV spots to fill-in the vague picture millions of voters still have of the Republican candidate in shades as dark as those applied to Matt Fong — unless Simon first fills in his own bright, clear picture.
The theme four years ago was that the Democratic party was in disarray. Then Davis wins, and all of a sudden the entire state is unwinnable for conservative GOPers. Only types like Campbell and Riordan even have the slightest chance of victory. Quite a turnaround. The press are morons.
This effectively refutes those in the GOP who advocate appealing to voters along ethnic lines, which is moving 'left' if anything is. To hell with sops to ethnic blocks such as printing campaign literature in foreign languages, etc. How about the GOP holding its ground on the moral issues and for a change show some b*lls? How about even going on the OFFENSIVE on these issues?
Seems to me to be a much better way to attract voters of ALL stripes and not nearly as divisive. Along with tax reform the GOP would be UNBEATABLE in ANY state in the union.
Cali sucks liberal wanker so much I left.
Only, like the idiot I'm apt to sometimes be, I moved to Washington.
That's all. That's it.
California is history; lost forever to barbarism. Simon is toast.
I anticipate a Demorat lock on the Legislature and Governorship for the rest of my lifetime--and possibly "forever".
CA is as leftist as Mass or NY or Vermont. Forget it, it's lost.
--Boris