Posted on 09/01/2004 3:15:34 AM PDT by Patton@Bastogne
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Free Republic Community:
Welcome to Wednesday's Hurricane Frances news-twist !
It looks like a Melbourne Landfall after all, once again (to Section9's worst fears) churning it's way North along the Coast Highway ...
Excellent Hurricane Frances Websites:
HURRICANE ALLEY
U.S. Weather Observers
Patton@Bastogne
Free Republic Member since 1998.
General George S. Patton Jr. Website
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I think this storm stands a pretty good chance of striking the US twice.
Yeah, my wife and fil just went to the Home Depot on Malabar rd. and pretty much said the same thing about the lines. They got batteries and left.
Palm Bay is north of Vero Beach, yes? About 1/2 way between Melbourne and Vero? Getting out of Dodge is a good plan at this point!
My family is attending a wedding in Miami this weekend. My wife and kids just arrived there and I am scheduled to fly out tomorrow evening. Can't help thinking that maybe it was irresponsible of me to let my wife and kids go. We are staying at a hotel in Miami and we were supposed to go on a 3 day cruise right after the wedding in Nassau. Does anyone have any advice for us if the hurricane does hit Miaimi? Since my family is there already, I will make every effort to go there and be with them if things do get bad. Like I said, I'm feeling guilty about letting them go and want to be with them if this thing hits. Any advice on how to deal with a hurricane when you are staying at a hotel.
That still leaves the space coast on the northeast side of the storm. I hope you are right on the inertia point but that storm is so darn big that it is going to cover the state.
I hope it obliterates Disney in Orlando. I hope there is NO sign it was ever there.
I hope it obliterates Disney in Orlando. I hope there is NO sign it was ever there.
ONLY DISNEY!
Excellent concept. I hope she pays attention and heeds your request.
Howdy Jennifer,
Wow,it's a small world,my daughter's name is Jennifer-and she's in Port St' Lucie..she says that they're planning on leaving by thursday-heading north -they don't even know where yet..after reading some of these posts,I'm starting to worry they may wind up on the I-95 "parking lot"..maybe I should give em a holler and tell them that ain't such a good idea.
Jennifer, PB is near the space center. Convince the inlaws to come over for a visit. Glad you made it through Charlie [I like the way you put that :) ].
I would assume that the meteorologists producing the forecast have taken into account for the shear vs. gulfstream in their prediction of some weakening over the next 72hrs. Of course putting one faith in forecasting capabilities of most weathermen may not be justified. But either way, Florida can expect a strong Cat 4 or even a Cat 5 storm this weekend.
Continuing prayers for those in the storm's path.
My strategy is to wait and see which direction to evacuate if it is necessary. I think going to FL west coast would be out of the question since Frances could follow me out there. Most likely Frances would curve in from the south going north if it hits Broward county. In that event I would go south and stay in Miami. If it looks like it hits anywhere north of about Lake Worth then I stay put here.
Amazing how many Freepers live in Brevard County. It's nice to know.
Hey neighbor :) I'm in Cape Coral too, watching this storm closely because, as you know, just about every house in town has piles of debris/logs.etc sittin out on the lawn for pick up, as far as the eye can see. Wouldn't want any of that stuff flying around even if we just get a *little bit* of wind, that's for sure.
Sorry for the shouting- Weather Underground must be swamped...
HURRICANE FRANCES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062004
1500Z WED SEP 01 2004
AT 11 AM...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...WHICH INCLUDES...
CAT...EXUMAS...LONG ISLANDS...RUM CAY AND SAN SALVADOR AND A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS...WHICH INCLUDES
THE ABACOS...ANDROS...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND
BAHAMA AND NEW PROVIDENCE.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...WHICH INCLUDES ACKLINS...CROOKED...INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA
AND RAGGED ISLANDS...AND FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THE NORTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM PUNTA GORDA WESTWARD TO MANZANILLO BAY.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 69.8W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 937 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE 55SE 45SW 60NW.
50 KT.......120NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..275NE 160SE 160SW 275NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 69.8W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 69.1W
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 22.6N 71.8W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 55SE 45SW 60NW.
50 KT...120NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 100SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 24.0N 74.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 55SE 45SW 60NW.
50 KT...120NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 100SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 25.0N 76.0W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
50 KT...120NE 110SE 90SW 110NW.
34 KT...170NE 140SE 110SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 26.0N 77.5W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
50 KT...120NE 110SE 90SW 110NW.
34 KT...170NE 140SE 110SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 27.5N 80.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 90SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 29.0N 82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 31.6N 84.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N 69.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
FORECASTER AVILA
Howdy neighbor! I'm glad people are taking this seriously and hope the panic doesn't overwhelm reasoned urgency (yeah, right!) Stay safe.
Nassau? You may want to check on that as Frances is currently on track to go right over the Bahamas.
There has to be an economic impact, given that Labor Day weekend is upon us, everywhere from Key West up to the Georgia coast and maybe beyond. The phone lines must be burning up with holiday cancellations.
What a bummer.
I stayed at the Ramada Inn in Palm Bay for a couple of days back in 2002. That might be a good place to ride out the storm...depending on where it hits.
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