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EDITORIAL: 'A lousy hurricane forecast'
NWF Daily News ^ | 11/29/13

Posted on 12/01/2013 7:19:28 AM PST by Libloather

The 2013 Atlantic hurricane season ended Saturday, and — unless a new sponsor pops up with wads of cash — so did Colorado State University’s hurricane forecasting team. Fine with us. We won’t miss either one.

The Colorado team, officially the Tropical Meteorology Project, has been issuing forecasts for the upcoming hurricane season each summer for 30 years. At the beginning of this year’s season, the team predicted 18 named storms. Nine of those, it said, would become hurricanes. Four would be major hurricanes.

Here’s how it shook out: There were 13 named storms. Only two became hurricanes. Neither was a major hurricane.

(Excerpt) Read more at nwfdailynews.com ...


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Editorial; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: climatechange; forecast; globalwarming; hurricane
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I officially predict that in 2014 there will be between 0 and 365 hurricanes.

Now where are those TV cameras?


21 posted on 12/01/2013 10:06:27 AM PST by Rockpile
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To: Dilbert San Diego

Attitudes about destruction are irrelevant in this conversation.

We’re mad about politics masquerading as science.


22 posted on 12/01/2013 11:10:44 AM PST by G Larry (Let his days be few; and let another take his office. Psalms 109:8)
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To: Libloather

I can make a meteorological prediction that is 100% accurate: Next year all parts of the world will experience some kind of weather.


23 posted on 12/01/2013 11:28:50 AM PST by unseelie
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To: Don Corleone

“My guess is as good as theirs.”
////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

I honestly believe my guessing is better than theirs.


24 posted on 12/01/2013 12:51:01 PM PST by RipSawyer (The TREE currently falling on you actually IS worse than a Bush.)
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To: Libloather; 11B40; A Balrog of Morgoth; A message; ACelt; Aeronaut; AFPhys; AlexW; alrea; ...
DOOMAGE!

Global Warming PING!

You have been pinged because of your interest in environmentalism, alarmist wackos, mainstream media doomsday hype, and other issues pertaining to global warming.

Freep-mail me to get on or off: Add me / Remove me

Please ping me to all note-worthy threads on global warming.

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25 posted on 12/02/2013 12:39:59 PM PST by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (...)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

Oh, come on, it’s ‘settled science’! :D

In the meantime, in the words of James T. Kirk, “I’m laughing at the ‘superior intellect’.”


26 posted on 12/02/2013 12:46:41 PM PST by Colonel_Flagg (Some people meet their heroes. I raised mine. Go Army.)
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To: Libloather

Has anybody EVER made a hurricane forecast of “below normal”?


27 posted on 12/02/2013 12:49:21 PM PST by nascarnation (Wish everyone see a "Gay Kwanzaa")
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To: Libloather
I suspect a new type of dynamic is setting up due to global cooling and the much learned scientists or anyone else, has any experience with that new dynamic.........Just my 2 cents or less.
28 posted on 12/02/2013 12:56:07 PM PST by The Cajun (Sarah Palin, Mark Levin, Ted Cruz, Mike Lee, Louie Gohmert......Nuff said.)
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To: binreadin

I think it’s important to note that Dr. Gray, the recently retired pioneer of the Colorado State long range hurricane forecasting program, is not a global warming alarmist. Quite the contrary, he has been saying for some years that we should expect global cooling. So for those who are celebrating the demise of the Colorado State program, if that is what is happening, it may not mean what we think it means politically, although I’m not certain what page Dr. Gray’s successors are on.


29 posted on 12/02/2013 5:59:22 PM PST by Sam Cree (absolute reality)
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To: G Larry

I’m not sure I even understand the point of these forecasts .

Predicting 8 hurricanes for the season, correctly or incorrectly, does nothing to help anyone prepare. If you live on those coastal areas, have what you WILL eventually need, and just keep it stored away until needed.

It is not like being able to predict that a moderate to severe mid-season hurricane will be very likely to make landfall between Jacksonville and Savannah. That would be very useful, if there was a good degree of accuracy. This doesn’t even come near that.

Everyone knows it’s hurricane season, and no matter how many are or aren’t predicted, the only one that matters is the one that hits YOU.


30 posted on 12/03/2013 12:32:50 AM PST by ApplegateRanch (Love me, love my guns!©)
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To: catfish1957

Dr. Gray didn’t give the forecast. They cut his funding years ago. You are right though. He didn’t believe enough and wouldn’t give NOAA and others the “science” they wanted so they kicked him to the curb.


31 posted on 12/03/2013 4:21:47 AM PST by I got the rope
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