Posted on 09/20/2016 8:52:20 AM PDT by Angels27
Back on the campaign trail after being diagnosed with pneumonia and a subsequent break from campaigning, Hillary Clinton plugged her leaking lead against Donald Trump, according to this week's NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll.
She now enjoys 50 percent support among likely voters and Trump has 45 percent support.
As the first votes have already been cast via absentee and early voting in several states across the country, the NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll will now report out results using a likely voter screen instead of just registered voters. Previously, we reported out results among respondents who indicated they were registered to vote. For full details on our likely voter screen and methodology, please click here.
(Excerpt) Read more at nbcnews.com ...
Again, he has the funds. What's the DRAWBACK to ads?
My lady FRiend and I recently biked from Michigan to Arlington, VA. Along the way...hundreds of TRUMP signs, but NOT EVEN ONE Hillary sign. We took a different route home, and again saw hundreds for TRUMP, and ONE Hillary sign (in Ohio).
I call bullshite on every poll out there.
non-probability survey were selected from the nearly three million people who take surveys on the SurveyMonkey platform each day.
Meaning: pure and absolute junk. Not a mathematically supported poll.
Ofail didn’t win by Democrat +6 in 2012.
Nonsense.
A couple of campaign events does not qualify for being back on the trail.
This is BS.
Exactly.
She is AWOL.
Stop drinking the kool aid.
NBC which got caught in the DNC hacked Email release admitting it is cheating for Hillary; NBC who shows Hillary at a 11% trust level among voters - these are the people who put her at 50% and Trump at 45%? okay.
Has SurveyMonkey ever been right?
This looks to be an outlier. Let’s see what other numbers show.
Mary Katherine Ham’s dead VERY LIBERAL husband used to head SurveyMonkey....maybe THAT”S why it’s weird!!
I warned this was coming: a number of “momentum breaking” polls to try and slow Trump down.
And here is the next one.
Monmouth: Florida Clinton 46% Trump 41%
9/16 to 9/19. 4.9% MOE.
-PJ
Actually, if you look at the August poll, Trump has gained two and Cankles lost two, for a net swing of four.
Trump gained in Nevada's poll from 61.4% chance to 69.5% chance if winning.
He's slipping on Maine's two at-large votes to 36.3%, but has the CD-2 vote locked up.
And the North Carolina poll grew Trump's probability there from 42.5% to 47.8%.
-PJ
NYTimes has an apologetic article on the polling methodology weirdness.
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/09/20/upshot/the-error-the-polling-world-rarely-talks-about.html?_r=1
So, indeed, it’s done to hide how well Trump’s doing!
(And this article doesn’t even go into sample selection which is the most abused IMO).
Reuters has OR at -3, or 2/3s as close as VA.
I could see this coming, too. Trump will win in a landslide, I believe.
Oh, I see what the issue is. I was looking at the 2-way RCP average, and you’re looking at the 4-way. I suspect the LA Times poll is not included in the 4-way average, because it’s a 2-way poll. But if you look at the 2-way average, LA Times poll is definitely there.
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