[David]

"Manchin isn't an idiot. He knows that if he switches to the Republicans he gets primaried out in 2024. If he stays with the Democrats he has a chance of reelection. A dwindling chance but still a chance."

With all due respect to your view, that looks to be backwards.

If Manchin runs for reelection as a dem, he doesn't have much chance at getting reelected against an R; on the other hand if he flips to R, he beats anything the Dems have on the bench.

[DoodleDawg]

If Manchin runs for reelection as a dem, he doesn't have much chance at getting reelected against an R...

Manchin has been wining elections as a Democrat in a Red state since 2004.

...on the other hand if he flips to R, he beats anything the Dems have on the bench.

If he switches to R then he won't survive the primary challenges in 2024.