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Major Statistical Analysis Shows Trump Beating Biden OR Newsom in 2024, While DeSantis Would Suffer McCain-Level Blowout
The National Pulse ^
| 11/13/2023
| JAKE WELCH
Posted on 11/13/2023 9:21:20 AM PST by SoConPubbie
Former President Donald Trump is on course to win the 2024 presidential election with 292 electoral college votes to Joe Biden‘s 246, according to a major new study Multilevel Regression and Poststratification (MRP) modeling conducted by Stack Data Strategy. MRP has been used to successfully predict outcomes in UK and Spanish elections in recent years, with around 15,000 respondents from across the United States taking part in this study.
With Trump at the top of the ticket, Republicans can expect to flip Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
“Our research is the largest exercise of its kind so far this cycle and we can confidently say that as things currently stand, if Donald Trump is selected as the Republican candidate, he is likely to win,” said Joe Bedell, the Head of Stack Data Strategy in North America, adding: “Despite recent calls for change, our polling also shows that neither party would benefit from a change in candidate, President Trump would beat both of Biden’s possible replacements by an even greater margin.”
The news was not so good for Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, who the data finds would lose to Biden almost as badly as the late Senator John McCain lost to former President Barack Obama in 2008. The data shows DeSantis even losing North Carolina and Texas, a feat Democrats have not managed since the 1970s.
Further study reveals that Trump would also trounce California Governor Gavin Newsom, beating him better than the 45th President would beat Biden. With Newsom at the top of the ticket, Democrats could lose Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, and Nevada, in addition to those that would already flip red against Biden.
Stack Data Strategy has offices in Washington, D.C. and London, England and is a member of the British Polling Council and Market Research Society.
TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Crime/Corruption; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: desantis; trump
To: SoConPubbie
No Republican will win POTUS in 2024. Sorry.
2
posted on
11/13/2023 9:24:35 AM PST
by
brownsfan
(It's going to take real, serious, hard times to wake the American public.)
To: SoConPubbie
Did this account for urban election workers in Milwaukee, Philadelphia and Atlanta running manufactured ballots repeatedly through the machines all night?
3
posted on
11/13/2023 9:24:44 AM PST
by
PGR88
To: SoConPubbie
Did this factor in the states that use Dominion voting machines?
4
posted on
11/13/2023 9:29:47 AM PST
by
ProudDeplorable
(Concentrated power has always been the enemy of liberty. ~ Ronald Reagan)
To: SoConPubbie
A blind man could see that. What else is new?
5
posted on
11/13/2023 9:32:22 AM PST
by
Jim W N
(MAGA by restoring the Gospel of the Grace of Christ (Jude 3) and our Free Constitutional Republic!)
To: brownsfan
It appears that my favorite president will be bankrupted and incarcerated in the D.C. jail with the other January 6th defendents, rather than running for office.
6
posted on
11/13/2023 9:32:55 AM PST
by
armourenthusiast
(I capitalize everything related to South)
To: All
“With Trump at the top of the ticket, Republicans can expect to flip Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Our research is the largest exercise of its kind so far this cycle,” said Joe Bedell, the Head of Stack Data Strategy in North America, adding:
“.....our polling also shows that neither party would benefit from a change in opposition candidate, President Trump would beat both of Biden’s possible replacements by an even greater margin.”
7
posted on
11/13/2023 9:36:42 AM PST
by
Liz
(Women have tremendous power — their femininity, because men can't do without it. Sidney Sheldon)
To: SoConPubbie
The election fraud in 2024 will eclipse that of 2020 or 2022. Nothing will be done about it.
To: brownsfan
Latest I&I/TIPP poll.
9
posted on
11/13/2023 9:44:01 AM PST
by
thegagline
(Sic semper tyrannis! Goldwater in 2024)
To: brownsfan
I fear that this is all too true.
Aside from that, neither The National Pulse nor Jack Welch are paid to report otherwise.
10
posted on
11/13/2023 10:15:16 AM PST
by
skr
(Righteousness exalteth a nation: sin is a reproach to any people. - Proverbs 14:34)
To: armourenthusiast
It appears that my favorite president will be bankrupted and incarcerated in the D.C. jail with the other January 6th defendents, rather than running for office.
No he won't and I doubt he is your favorite President.
11
posted on
11/13/2023 10:17:14 AM PST
by
SoConPubbie
(Trump has all the right enemies, DeSantis has all the wrong friends.)
To: SoConPubbie
12
posted on
11/13/2023 10:23:49 AM PST
by
Pajamajan
(Pray for our nation. Never be slave in a new Socialist America )
To: SoConPubbie
Looks like the Trump haters jumped onto the comment section here quickly.
To: SoConPubbie
I don’t believe Joe has 41% He’s a cadaver for God’s sake
14
posted on
11/13/2023 11:04:16 AM PST
by
SMARTY
("A lie which is half a truth is ever the blackest of lies." Tennyson)
To: Midwesterner53
Looks like the Trump haters jumped onto the comment section here quickly.
Yea, sometimes I post an article just so they can make fools of themselves and the FReeper World can see them for who they are!
15
posted on
11/13/2023 1:28:58 PM PST
by
SoConPubbie
(Trump has all the right enemies, DeSantis has all the wrong friends.)
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