Posted on 05/13/2024 8:49:21 PM PDT by RandFan
President Joe Biden’s mediocre polling numbers and a difficult Senate map contribute to a somber mood for Democrats less than six months before Election Day. But there’s reason for Democratic optimism in one key Senate race, even as legal issues make one House member look more vulnerable while a GOP member’s status is in flux.
With the complexities of a potential independent run for reelection by Sen. Kyrsten Sinema and Arizona emerging as one of the country’s top battlegrounds, the Arizona Senate race had been rated as a Toss-up for months. But Inside Elections has now changed the rating of the Arizona Senate race from Toss-Up to Tilt Democratic.
While the latest New York Times/Siena poll, conducted April 28 to May 9, showed former President Donald Trump with a 49 percent to 42 percent advantage over Biden in Arizona, it also showed Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego led former news anchor Kari Lake 45 percent to 41 percent in the Senate race.
That’s troubling news for Republicans, considering Lake has high, unfavorable statewide name ID from her 2022 run for governor and subsequent false claims that the election was stolen. As a result, it will be harder for her to change how voters see her. Gallego, meanwhile, is a sitting member of the House with lower name ID and has room to grow his standing.
The good news for Republicans is that they don’t need to win Arizona in order to control the Senate. If Trump maintains his overall advantage in the presidential race, Republicans have cleared the minimum threshold for control of the Senate by taking over West Virginia because the new vice president could break tie votes.
(Excerpt) Read more at rollcall.com ...
This.
The “McCain vote” will not support Kari Lake under any circumstances. They’ll either vote democrat out of spite or they’ll stay home.
For McCain’s voters it’s progressive republican or BUST.
Ugly women DESPISE pretty oneS!
Arizonians continue to prove, that they are stupid.
Sounds like governor Katie Hobbis is hard at work with the cheat - again.
Lake was leading Hobbs until she said at a rally she didn’t want McCain voters. It’s very odd for a candidate to outright send people to her opponent.
A four point lead is not favorable for Demon Rats. Of course the loss of election integrity is a problem for conservatives, and Arizona has been crooked.
DEMOCRAT PLAN-B
Here is the democrats backstop Plam-B in case Trump is able to overcome their cheating and election rigging in November and win back the Presidency:
Win a majority in the House and the Senate and impeach Trump 1 second after he takes the oath of office.
Ugly women DESPISE pretty oneS
++++++++++
I believe that is also a contributor. She is also smart and doesn’t support murdering babies. There is plenty for the dregs of society to be “hating on her”.
She has called it the ‘ultimate sin’ in fact and then personally lobbies Arizona state lawmakers to repeal the Civil War-era law effectively outlawing abortion.
What is wrong with AZ rollcall claim Lake is “unpopular” ...
Why!?!?
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
laying the groundwork to justify another steal by runbeck & the machines
Lake is not unattractive by any measure, but she insists on using a blur filter on her video feed to hide facial wrinkles. It's stupid and vain and makes her look even more stupid and vain because other politicians don't use it, and if you look fake around politicians, you look pretty danged fake.
Thom tillis sucks I’ll leave it blank if he runs for reelection he can’t get 50%
It’s disappointing that she is unpopular in AZ. She seemed to carry herself VERY well and really took the reporters to task when they tried to trip her up or hijack the narrative. She could be a real asset for Republicans in the senate.
Lake was leading Hobbs until she said at a rally she didn’t want McCain voters. It’s very odd for a candidate to outright send people to her opponent.
🙄
They stole the Governor race just like they stole the Presidential race.
That’s why Kari Lake “lost”.
👍🏻👍🏻
Sounds like a bunch of dumb Arizona voters to me. Shoot your own foot off to support a Party that hates your guts and who will soon replace you with illegals.
You must be a woman.
In reality, the Arizona investigation showed that Biden won by more.
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