But the Kosovo model seems apt on many levels.
At a certain demographic tipping point, it becomes impossible for a border region to control its frontier, since local governments are controlled by pro open immigration recent immigrants. This process really snowballs into an unstoppable avalanche in the later stages, which we are approaching.
Once the border states become majority Mexican, the radicals will become emboldened, and push for Spanish only laws and other flagrant displays of power. The most radical will snipe "anglo" police and politicians to provoke a response, the radicals will flee into the barrios. The police response will create collateral victims, and (the radicals hope) new recruits to the radical cause.
I think we could see terrorism and guerrilla war in the Southwest within 20 years. I would not buy real estate within 100 or 200 miles of the border.
I hope I'm wrong, but I recall how the Kosovo Serbs used to love their "cheap Albanian labor".
Driving wedges
from http://www.borderlandnews.com/stories/opinion/letters/letter.shtml
I believe there is a racial divide in El Paso, and much of it can be traced back to the past few decades of Mexican-American militancy, particularly the movements of the 1960s and '70s.
Many of the student leaders of Chicano movements are now a part of the "establishment." However, they did not outgrow the ideas they developed during those years. Rather, many continue to promote a racialist agenda, driving wedges between groups in El Paso.
They may be unaware it is happening, but one look at the demographics during the past few years paints an unflattering picture of what has happened. Much of the Anglo population has left El Paso. Mexican Americans are in the majority and have leadership roles in the community, and yet these former student leaders continue to cite racism as a reason for the problems in El Paso.
These people's agenda is wearing thin. But this does not deter them, and many will keep their racialist strategies in place, as long as there is a potential benefit for them. However, they do not seem to care if the community is helped or hurt by their actions.