Replies

Thank you. First of all I question his numbers that in 1950 1 out of 3 people in the world was a European. That would mean that there was an even higher number 5 years previous to that; which would have been at the end of the bloodiest war in world history. This seems unlikely. At any rate, a ridiculous prediction that European/Caucasian people will only be 2% of the worlds population 50 years from now smacks of the book The Population Bomb in the 70's which predicted worldwide famine (including the US and England) by the year 2000 unless we all turned or lives over to trained socialists/communists. The book was widely accepted by academics and we all know now how pathetic the authors predictions were.

...a ridiculous prediction ...

Any population prediction that looks solely to rate of population indicators is going to fail. It is no different than trying to predict the weather based on past indicators. Several things must be taken into account.

(1) Population density. As density increases so do disease and crime and war. Each of these will reduce growth. (2) Arable land and land productivity. Without food the population will not grow and both these affect food availability. (3) Medical progress. As population grows, death rates will increase and life spans will decrease unless medical advances keep pace with population. (4) Mobility. Some people will move to less populated regions or move to regions that can better support larger populations. Emigrants, if assimilated, will balance out population growth differences.

At any rate, a ridiculous prediction that European/Caucasian people will only be 2% of the worlds population 50 years from now smacks of the book The Population Bomb in the 70's

Especially that Iranians/Pakistanis/Indians are Caucasians.