[spetznaz]

What's the chance of China using the turmoil of an Indo-Pakistani war to attack Taiwan?

[maui_hawaii]

Re: #70

The feild for China is not ripe yet. Turmoil or not, they are not assured of a victory over Taiwan.

Most Chinese 'thinkers' assume the war over Taiwan will occur around 2020.

Oh yeah, I forgot to mention that Rumsfeld told them "come across that Strait and we nuke you." He wasn't kidding either.

[swarthyguy]

Here's a report i remember reading somewhere; it spoke of a highlevel meeting between IndianAF types who were visitng Taiwan's Defence Ministry. The gist of it was that the Indians were moving their a knight (some nukes) to Taiwan in case China tried something, the Taiwanese would have something to seriously damage China with in case of an Chinese attack on India or a move on Taiwan. Uncorroborated rumors/intel info. But plausible. Tinfoilly, but plausible.

[maui_hawaii]

That last one was for #73. Sorry.

The chance of China actually attacking IMO is low, except for maybe a temper tantrum of sorts like in 1996.

With Bush in Office and an assured knock em down drag em out fight, it would delay the Chinese doctrine of overwhelming force against Taiwan for a really long time.

Plus social unrest has a lot to do with things...as well as a change of Party control.