[aristeides]

It may be true that only 30 congressional districts are competitive, but isn't that largely because the system has been rigged so much in favor of House incumbents? Is it really true that only 30 or so districts would be competitive in presidential races?

Also, aren't you ignoring the two at-large electoral votes for each state? That's 102 electoral votes. And I would think at least 50 or so of those would be competitive.

[Torie]

Ya, I am ignoring the 2 electoral votes per state, but I really can't see the candidates doing a heavy media barrage in Pennsylvania over 2 electoral votes. I think 30 is a good number for competitive CD districts, although of course it varies by each campaign. The number of really competitive CD districts this election cycle is more like 15.