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Does shooting of Slovak leader heighten war risk?
Asia Times ^ | 16 May, 2024 | SPENGLER

Posted on 05/15/2024 5:45:35 PM PDT by MtnClimber

Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico, Europe’s toughest opponent of military backing for Ukraine, was shot multiple times May 15 by an as yet unidentified assailant. He was transported by helicopter to a trauma center at Banska Bystrica, where he is fighting for his life. His condition is not known.

Few details have been published about the would-be assassin, who was captured after the incident. Reportedly a 71-year-old man used a legally-owned weapon. The shooting took place at a private government off-site meeting in Handlova, and it is not known how the gunman learned of and gained access to the closed event.

It is the first shooting of a European head of government since the assassination of Swedish Prime Minister Olaf Palme in 1986.

After two previous terms as prime minister Fico returned to office in 2023, in a coalition among his Direction-Social Democracy party and two other parties. He opposed shipping Western arms to Ukraine through Slovak territory and has opposed the provision of Western weapons to Ukraine. Instead, Fico said in a September 2023 interview, “Why don’t we force the warring parties, use the weight of the EU and the US to make them sit down and find some sort of compromise that would guarantee security for Ukraine?”

The Czech Republic may follow Slovakia’s opposition to the Ukraine war after next year’s parliamentary election. Andrej Babis’ ANO party has a decisive lead in voter polls. Along with Hungary, Slovakia stands to form a block with Czechia and Serbia in opposition to US and European Commission support for Ukraine.

The shooting recalls the July 31, 1914, assassination of French Socialist leader Jean Jaurès, his country’s leading opponent of war after the murder of Austria’s Archduke Ferdinand in Sarajevo the previous month. He was shot at a Paris café by an alleged lone gunman.

So far, we have only questions about the shooting of Fico and no answers. But the strategic background to Ukraine’s military position is dire, the country’s military itself reports, as undermanned and exhausted Ukrainian units succumb to the relentless pounding of Russian air attacks and artillery.

It isn’t clear what Russia has in mind as it pursues a reconnaissance in force around Kharkov, but the salient facts are not in dispute. NATO countries do not have enough shells and air defense missiles, and Ukraine does not have sufficient manpower, to push back Russia’s crawling offensive.

The Biden Administration won’t sit on its hands while the most important military conflict since Vietnam goes pear-shaped. In some ways Ukraine is more important than Vietnam although no American body bags are coming home.

Two years ago, the West believed that its advanced weaponry would defeat the Russian army and that sanctions would crush the Russian economy. Instead, the Westfaces a Russia supplied by China via a dozen other countries, a revitalized Russian military that has displayed ingenuity in adapting to the battlefield and, worst of all, the humiliation of a shriveled defense industrial base that cannot produce enough weapons to match Russian output.

The Biden Administration will look to the November elections, fearing the effect of a Ukrainian defeat at the polls, but its determination to prevent a Russian victory has deeper motivations: At stake is the credibility of American leadership in Europe and around the world.

The US and its allies have many options, none of them salubrious. One is to help Ukraine attack major targets inside Russia, a frequent theme of American hawks. Another is to deploy Western troops in Ukraine directly or, as some have proposed, through a mercenary force of trained Western pilots flying Western aircraft against the Russians.

The Biden Administration has declined to take such steps, for the obvious reason that they might lead to a wider war. That was before Russia appeared close to victory. The attempted assassination of a determined, credible and duly elected East European leader might prove to be the writing on the wall.


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: slovakia
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1 posted on 05/15/2024 5:45:35 PM PDT by MtnClimber
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To: MtnClimber

The left is getting more aggressive in Europe....again.


2 posted on 05/15/2024 5:45:47 PM PDT by MtnClimber (For photos of scenery and wildlife, click on my screen name for my FR home page. More photos added.)
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To: MtnClimber

The CIA checked their Magic 8 Ball, and it said: “Signs point to yes.”


3 posted on 05/15/2024 5:47:41 PM PDT by mass55th (“Courage is being scared to death, but saddling up anyway.” ― John Wayne)
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To: MtnClimber

Stop the hysteria. The idea that the shooting in the Balkans of some minor figure no one’s ever heard of could possibly lead to a wider war is just nuts.


4 posted on 05/15/2024 5:56:19 PM PDT by Flash Bazbeaux
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To: Flash Bazbeaux

The war widened because of France’s idiotic alliance with Russia.


5 posted on 05/15/2024 5:56:53 PM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: MtnClimber

The Archduke of Ferdinand effect again?


6 posted on 05/15/2024 6:18:25 PM PDT by citizen (Put all LBQTwhatever programming on a new subscription service: PERV-TThose look good)
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To: citizen

oops....subtract ‘of’


7 posted on 05/15/2024 6:19:38 PM PDT by citizen (Put all LBQTwhatever programming on a new subscription service: PERV-TThose look good)
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To: Flash Bazbeaux

Heh


8 posted on 05/15/2024 6:28:42 PM PDT by cowboyusa (YESHUA IS KING AMERICA, AND HE WILL HAVE NO OTHER GODS BEFORE HIM!)
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To: MtnClimber
the most important military conflict since Vietnam

Yeah, right. /s

9 posted on 05/15/2024 6:28:42 PM PDT by Major Matt Mason (To solve the Democrat problem, the RINO problem must first be solved.)
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To: Flash Bazbeaux

Yea, that could never happen.

L


10 posted on 05/15/2024 6:31:18 PM PDT by Lurker ( Peaceful coexistence with the Left is not possible. Stop pretending that it is.)
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To: Flash Bazbeaux

LOL


11 posted on 05/15/2024 6:32:12 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: Flash Bazbeaux

” Stop the hysteria. The idea that the shooting in the Balkans of some minor figure no one’s ever heard of could possibly lead to a wider war is just nuts.”


Ouch !

Fortunately, current States don’t have Oligarchic elements in the military, security services and diplomatic corps who are determined for war regardless of what the elected leadership or population wants... oh,... wait...


12 posted on 05/15/2024 6:51:02 PM PDT by Reverend Wright ( Everything touched by progressives, dies !)
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To: MtnClimber

Ukraine was holding up well until the Zelensky ordered offensive that drained its fighting ability.

I also think the Russians have learned to blast Ukrainian forces into ineffectiveness in any Russian selected sector via massive firepower.

There is still the factor of all too common Russian incompetence. Russia still loses too many troops and aircraft unnecessarily.


13 posted on 05/15/2024 7:04:36 PM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: Brian Griffin
Ukraine was holding up well until the Zelensky ordered offensive that drained its fighting ability

Kinda like when Lee attacked Gettysburg.

14 posted on 05/15/2024 7:05:53 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: Flash Bazbeaux

Stop the hysteria. The idea that the shooting in the Balkans of some minor figure no one’s ever heard of could possibly lead to a wider war is just nuts.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>.
Sorry to embarrass you, but Slovakia isn’t in the Balkans, Slovenia is however. And Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico is a well known, important political figure in the EU.


15 posted on 05/15/2024 7:06:12 PM PDT by fortes fortuna juvat (Biden left our troops to die in Afghanistan and our military equipment to our enemy. Never forget.)
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To: MtnClimber

I tend to think the Russians don’t want to expand the war.

They can barely handle Ukraine itself. And they don’t want to upset Ukrainians more than they have as Putin still dreams of a reunited Soviet Union. Even the pro-Russia folks living in Ukraine don’t want to be ‘liberated’ by the massively destructive Russian forces.


16 posted on 05/15/2024 7:09:00 PM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: MtnClimber
Just found this on patriots.win:

Breaking News: Assassination attempt on Irish Republican European MEP candidate Malachy Steenson

17 posted on 05/15/2024 7:09:29 PM PDT by mass55th (“Courage is being scared to death, but saddling up anyway.” ― John Wayne)
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To: mass55th
Your post 17- They tried to assassinate another candidate opposed to the EU, in Ireland. Coincidence? 🤔
18 posted on 05/15/2024 7:21:04 PM PDT by Pajamajan (Pray for our nation. Never be a peaceful slave in a new Socialist America..)
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To: MtnClimber

Thanks for sharing this Russian propaganda outlet’s take on things.


19 posted on 05/15/2024 7:41:28 PM PDT by freeandfreezing
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To: fortes fortuna juvat

Well, that’s what happens when you rush trying to be a smart ass. Funny thing, I heard a guy talking a couple of months ago about his father being born in Bratislava, Czechoslovakia in 1911, and I said to myself “No, Czechoslovakia didn’t exist in 1911.”


20 posted on 05/15/2024 8:09:14 PM PDT by Flash Bazbeaux
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