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Hurricane Ian
NHC/NOAA ^ | 23 September 2022 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 09/23/2022 2:32:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse

The late-blooming 2022 Atlantic Tropical Storm season is making up for lost time. A tropical system has developed in the Central Caribbean Sea. This storm system is forecast to threaten continental U.S. interests next week. While the tropical wave passed south of a key geographic area known as Hebert's Box #1, it will very likely pass through Hebert's Box #2. These boxes are useful as predictors of hurricanes that will strike South Florida. For more information about Hebert's Boxes, see Hebert Box. See graphic below which illustrated the Hebert's Boxes.

Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.


Mash image to enlarge

Public Advisories

NHC Discussion

Buoy Data

Tropical Tidbits


Hebert's Boxes


TOPICS: Breaking News; Extended News; Front Page News; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: florida; hurricaneian; ian; nautinurse; officialianthread; tropical; tropicalstorm; uhoh; weather
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To: jeffers

Here’s the question: what will be the effect on the Orlando area, especially at Disney World and Universal Studios Orlando? The wind and very heavy rain could cause significant damage to both theme parks, and it could be months before they re-open again.


1,581 posted on 09/28/2022 11:32:05 AM PDT by RayChuang88 (FairTax: America's Economic Cure)
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To: CatHerd

“So the eye just passed over Ft Myers. And still at 155 mph. Not good.”

Just made landfall. Has not passed over yet.


1,582 posted on 09/28/2022 11:32:32 AM PDT by TexasGator (!!!)
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To: Nifty
The fools are out in force. Reporters …

A decade or more ago, not sure which storm, a reporter gets hammered with a coconut on live TV. I’ve been looking for that video for years, can’t find. If anyone knows where it’s at, let me know.

1,583 posted on 09/28/2022 11:33:55 AM PDT by 11th_VA
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To: FamiliarFace

There are a many places in the country that were heaven back in the 1950s and early 60s. I grew up in the Kansas City suburbs in Johnson County, Kansas and my buddies and I still talk about how fortunate we were at that time.


1,584 posted on 09/28/2022 11:34:42 AM PDT by KC Burke (If all the world is a stage, I would like to request my lighting be adjusted.)
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To: EBH; All

Ryan Hall is very good. I had that link in a tab but I didn’t know who was reporting

He just showed a resident’s video in Ft Meyers on the second story of a boating passing by.

Now showing houses floating off foundations (in Ft Meyers).

He said storm literally sitting in one spot.

Tornado warnings reported.

Prayers!


1,585 posted on 09/28/2022 11:35:46 AM PDT by thouworm (Tyrannies rule thru fraud and force; once the fraud is exposed they must rely exclusively on force.)
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To: RayChuang88

I will let you know in February as a son has us booked there.


1,586 posted on 09/28/2022 11:35:49 AM PDT by KC Burke (If all the world is a stage, I would like to request my lighting be adjusted.)
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To: TexasGator

Where did it make landfall? Englewood maybe?


1,587 posted on 09/28/2022 11:36:25 AM PDT by FamiliarFace (I wish “smart resume” would work for the real world so I could FF through the Burden admin BS.)
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To: CatHerd

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=as5ktgoPLJc


1,588 posted on 09/28/2022 11:37:14 AM PDT by shield (2:9 Woe unto those who say they are Judahites and are not, but are of the syna GOG ue of Satan.)
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To: KC Burke

So true. Probably all over the country. Every neat old place has grown up, and not much for the better.


1,589 posted on 09/28/2022 11:38:41 AM PDT by FamiliarFace (I wish “smart resume” would work for the real world so I could FF through the Burden admin BS.)
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To: thouworm

Ryan also showed a shark swimming in a residential area. Another reason to stay indoors.


1,590 posted on 09/28/2022 11:39:17 AM PDT by Tuxedo (Here we go! Lead futures going up)
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To: FamiliarFace

I read earlier today the officially Landfall is where the center of the eye passes over as the whole storm moves on-shore. That is just about to occur south of Port Charlotte Harbor on the Barrier Islands south of the bridge I mentioned above.


1,591 posted on 09/28/2022 11:39:32 AM PDT by KC Burke (If all the world is a stage, I would like to request my lighting be adjusted.)
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To: TexasGator

It’s moving at like 7mph. VERY BAD.


1,592 posted on 09/28/2022 11:40:44 AM PDT by cowboyusa (America Cowboy up!)
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To: CatHerd

The videos today are frightening, and the stats. A surge of 18 feet...that’s over the top of many houses. Plus 24 inches of rain. Sounds like another Katrina.

Prayers up for everyone on the Gulf Coast and in the interior.

I hope they evacuate the nursing homes and assisted living places in time.


1,593 posted on 09/28/2022 11:41:18 AM PDT by miserare ( Impeach Joe Biden!)
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To: CatHerd

I’m just watching a report that said the eye didn’t pass OVER Ft. Myers. Storm surge bad.


1,594 posted on 09/28/2022 11:41:38 AM PDT by Rusty0604 (" When you can't make them see the light, make them feel the heat." -Ronald Reagan)
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To: thouworm

I just turned Ryan on during lunch.

Wasn’t aware of him ‘til today.

He and his crew have better coverage that TWC.


1,595 posted on 09/28/2022 11:41:45 AM PDT by MplsSteve
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To: CatHerd

Yes, that bridge will go, but...but...but...

Barrier island bridge builders know their business. They use modular construction, deep, cylindrical piers (low wave impedance) and “light” weight span sections, easily repaired... once heavy lift equipment can access the site. Barge or low boy trailer, they can handle either.

The downside will be the approaches to the bridge. Much lower in elevation than the crest of the span, and with only so much money available in the budget, you have to draw the line somewhere, so at some point the foundation under the pavement changes from “bridge quality” piers or mats, to standard compacted gravel. That ends up on lawns over in Punta Gorda.

You can easily end up with a pretty bridge, including abutments, dissociated, by itself, an island, 50 or 100 feet away from either end of the road. Now you have to get dredges on barges, or dozers on lowboys in to haul up muck from the new pass, then dry it enough to get gravel dumps and compacting equipment over the top before you can resurface the bridge approaches.

You have to zoom out to assess the lead time to do this. Did the causeway to Ft Myers survive? Or does everything have to come over on barges? Including food and water, coffee, hydraulic fluid, and duct tape?

How close does the remaining part of Periwinkle Way get to the site? Howe much of it has to be rebuilt to get those lowboys and heavies in?


1,596 posted on 09/28/2022 11:41:57 AM PDT by jeffers
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To: FamiliarFace

Pine Island near Ft. Meyers


1,597 posted on 09/28/2022 11:42:17 AM PDT by TexasGator (!!!)
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To: rarestia

I am sick of all the coverage on TV of the Florida storm— “The Mother of All Storms” with reporters in the rain and wind, roofs coming off, trees down, palm trees being whipped by the wind. Its all the same. My Questions are: What is Trump doing in Mira-a-Lago? Is he moving out? Will he ride out the storm? What about Disney World in Orlando? What about that rocket they were to launch at the Cape? How hard did this storm hit Cuba? Its just Ron DiSantis, Florida, and the wind and rain—FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS! Other things are happening in the world—we are about to engage Russia in a war that could slip into a world wide conflagration but all that is on TV is a guy in the rain telling us its windy and raining.


1,598 posted on 09/28/2022 11:42:57 AM PDT by Forward the Light Brigade ( Ride to the sound of the Guns!)
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To: KC Burke

Thank you, I see that now.


1,599 posted on 09/28/2022 11:43:55 AM PDT by FamiliarFace (I wish “smart resume” would work for the real world so I could FF through the Burden admin BS.)
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To: FamiliarFace

Has not yet been called, center of eye needs to cross

It’s been “imminent” for the last hour!


1,600 posted on 09/28/2022 11:43:56 AM PDT by baclava
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