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What is the probability the Detroit Lions loss every game (again!)
http://wmbriggs.com/blog/?p=1028 ^ | William Briggs

Posted on 09/10/2009 4:33:35 AM PDT by mattstat

I am from Detroit and I am a Lions fan; erstwhile, anyway. The Lions stink, stank, and have stunk since before I was born. They are lousy, appalling, and nausea-inducing. They are no damn good. Rotten, too. Few can remember when last they won a game. My dad always jokes that in their first game of each new season, a fan in the stadium holds up a sign reading, “Wait ’til next year!”.

Because of their rank dismalness, they are, paradoxically, the most-loved football team, and the reason is simple. What opposing coach’s heart is not filled with glee when he gazes upon the schedule and sees that he is pitted against the Lions? Several lucky clubs get to play them more than once! Bears fans can’t wait for the Lions to come to town. Ecstasy!

The Lion’s soaring stinkitude is also a blessing to statisticians like myself, because their ridiculous record makes for a perfect illustration of probability.

Last year, the Lions won no games. More thoroughly, they won 0 and lost 16. But this was reason to cheer, because this feat was a record! No NFL team had ever been so bad before. Now, you cannot do worse than losing all 16 games unless—and this is what interests us—a team compiles this same spectacular record a second year in a row. So our question is this: What is the chance the Lions lose all 16 games this year?...

(Excerpt) Read more at wmbriggs.com ...


TOPICS: Sports
KEYWORDS: detroitlions; lions; nfl
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To: mattstat

Go Lions! screw the naysayers, this is not last years team,


21 posted on 09/10/2009 5:11:57 AM PDT by MetalHeadConservative35 (My country right or wrong,To support her when right,To right her when wrong - Stocksthatgoup)
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To: mattstat

Things are looking up for the Lions...Sixteen stories up, that is.


22 posted on 09/10/2009 5:14:53 AM PDT by equaviator ("There's a (datum) plane on the horizon coming in...see it?")
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To: MikeWUSAF
You have made your case, sort of ....

but I have my own set of values. There is something wrong mentally with these women that would bring them to support a bunch of losers year after year after year ....... Perhaps they are paid (but I didn't think so) but that lends itself to another question. (I am not going to broach it here)

Eyecandy. Yes indeed. I wonder about their intellect. I would at least want to be able to converse at some level.

Hmmm .. but then again ... maybe not.

week 13 ,, bungles DO play detroit ... Palmer will be nursing a bruised (you name it) and will have been out for 6 games, but promising he is getting better. He got bruised, 3 and out, running off the field dreaming he was Rothlesburger.

Ocho Stinko will be sulking in the corner again

Henry will be in jail

Andre Smith will still be at McDonalds finishing his baker dozen of dbl quarter pounders.

Marvin will still be worried about the fans that will question him on why he didn't kick a field goal from 30 yards at 4th and twenty.

And Mikey brown will be counting his money with GLEE

and yet the bungle jungle losers will be sayin “wait till next year”

Nothing changes .... groundhog day ..

23 posted on 09/10/2009 5:16:17 AM PDT by HiramQuick (work harder ... welfare recipients depend on you!)
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To: mattstat

This is a simple math problem.

Let’s say they have a 90% chance to lose EACH game this year.

.90^16 = 18.5% chance of losing EVERY game.

Now if we say they have a 95% chance to lose each game then they have a 44% chance to lose EVERY game.

Unless my statistics math is failing me (which it might be).


24 posted on 09/10/2009 5:16:26 AM PDT by for-q-clinton (If at first you don't succeed keep on sucking until you do succeed)
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To: mattstat

I wish they would show another team other than the Lions on Thanksgiving.
The day is long enough as it is.


25 posted on 09/10/2009 5:16:48 AM PDT by mowowie
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To: Perdogg

Wish I could help them win but alas they aren’t playing the Chiefs this year.


26 posted on 09/10/2009 5:19:40 AM PDT by badpacifist ("Blessings come from God and He don't bless what he is against" ...Mrs Ray Charles)
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To: mowowie

“I wish they would show another team other than the Lions on Thanksgiving. The day is long enough as it is.”

That’s why we eat lots of turkey and stuffing. It puts you to sleep before the Lions can.


27 posted on 09/10/2009 5:21:57 AM PDT by equaviator ("There's a (datum) plane on the horizon coming in...see it?")
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To: mattstat

I put the over/under at four wins. What say you football fans, over or under?


28 posted on 09/10/2009 5:27:01 AM PDT by Straight Vermonter (Posting from deep behind the Maple Curtain)
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To: mattstat
And like clockwork, this Thanksgiving my brothers will hold up the holiday eats - we are transplanted Detroiters - to watch the Lions stink again.

Some things never change.

29 posted on 09/10/2009 5:31:38 AM PDT by truthkeeper ("Why oh why didn't I take the blue pill?")
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To: mattstat
Depends on if they can get Phil Luckett to toss the coin or not.
30 posted on 09/10/2009 5:43:11 AM PDT by SoothingDave
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To: trisham
What about Matthew Stafford?

Not ready for prime time. Not yet. I watched him in Cleveland. He was awful.
31 posted on 09/10/2009 5:51:59 AM PDT by mmichaels1970
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To: J40000

I agree, although I’m from Toledo originally. Thank God it’ll be hockey season soon! Let Go Wings!


32 posted on 09/10/2009 5:53:44 AM PDT by shredderman (Living in a Blue State, with a Blue Wife, But I'm Red to the bone.....)
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To: mattstat

The Lions are an appropriate team for a loser city like Detroit.


33 posted on 09/10/2009 5:57:48 AM PDT by caver (Obama's first goals: allow more killing of innocents and allow the killers of innocents to go free.)
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To: mattstat

They win 3 games this year: the Rams, Niners and Browns. That’s my story and I’m sticking to it.


34 posted on 09/10/2009 6:03:45 AM PDT by Pharmboy (The Stone Age did not end because they ran out of stones...)
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To: mattstat
Because of their rank dismalness, they are, paradoxically, the most-loved football team...

Sounds like the very early New York Mets... they were so bad that they were beloved, for a few years at least.

35 posted on 09/10/2009 6:35:46 AM PDT by JimRed ("Hey, hey, Teddy K., hot enough down there today?" TERM LIMITS, NOW AND FOREVER!)
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To: Pharmboy
They win 3 games this year: the Rams, Niners and Browns. That’s my story and I’m sticking to it.

They aren't going to beat my 49ers. Not at the 'stick. Not with me there. . . dressed as Santa.

Funny thing about their 0-16 season, though: Even with that winless blot on their record they still have more wins in the last 6 years than the Raiders do. . .
36 posted on 09/10/2009 7:20:45 AM PDT by Filo (Darwin was right!)
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To: mattstat
I'd love to feel for you. Really I would, but I'm too busy with my own Bronco pity party, now that Bowlen has given Skippy McJunior the keys to the family Cadillac, who's decided to take it out for his own personal ego trip.
37 posted on 09/10/2009 8:03:44 AM PDT by Hoffer Rand (There ARE two Americas: "God's children" and the tax payers)
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To: mattstat; Allegra; big'ol_freeper; Lil'freeper; TrueKnightGalahad; blackie; Larry Lucido; ...
Th Lions just need to give each of their players... a wrench. It worked for ACORN's members who went to townhalls!
38 posted on 09/10/2009 8:12:02 AM PDT by Bender2 ("I've got a twisted sense of humor, and everything amuses me." RAH Beyond this Horizon)
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To: Filo

Well, good luck! I just CAN’T root against Santa...


39 posted on 09/10/2009 8:12:11 AM PDT by Pharmboy (The Stone Age did not end because they ran out of stones...)
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To: Straight Vermonter

Under 4. They have a tough schedule, other than playing the AFC West. They probably go 0-6 in their division, and they win one or two games against the Rams and/or 49ers. Perhaps one more freak upset, possibly against the Packers on Thanksgiving, when they tend to get lucky.


40 posted on 09/10/2009 1:04:51 PM PDT by The Pack Knight (Duty, Honor, Country)
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