Posted on 01/18/2010 12:04:38 PM PST by cdchik123
There is a report that Martha Coakley's internals for Sunday night put her ahead by two points, 48 to 46 percent. For what it's worth, my little birdie tells me that her Sunday night poll put her ahead by one point and that the three-night average for Friday, Saturday and Sunday also put her ahead by one. Recall that Scott Brown had pulled ahead (by as many as three points) in Coakley's polls that last week. So this might indicate potential tightening.
That said, there's a catch: Coakley also apparently has numbers that showed Brown slightly ahead both on Sunday night and over the last three nights -- a different turnout model.
Her own poll shows her failing to crack 80 percent among Democrats (while Brown is over 90% with Republicans) and losing independents by more than 30 points. A very smart Massachusetts Democrat tells me that "I'm still guessing Brown wins, but it's really a toss-up at this point."
Keep dreaming.
Every poll has Brown up at least 5. (Expect for KOS).
Trying not to dampen turnout because of the word-on-the-street that this could be a blowout.
SnakeDoc
This is the Coakley camp spreading the happy pills to get at least some positive word out there to their people on the ground. At this point they are probably more concerned about keeping it close and preventing an even more damaging blow out.
And this was her campaign staff.
Note that all the latest posts on Kos are focused the CT Senate race where Blumenthal has big lead. Who is thinking about CT at the moment lol? Like I said, they are sticking their fingers in their ears and saying “Lalalalalalala” at this point.
Thats counting all the dead voters.
This is the cry of a loser. All you have left when every objective poll shows you behind is to say, “Ah, but my INTERNALS show ...”
Just doing all she can to keep her base from despairing, and I doubt it’s working.
The word on Coakley’s pollster is that she is not too reliable. Seems that she tends to fall in love with her candidate and hates to deliver bad news. She is also scorned by the pros for her lack of analytical skills.
I think that any polls out of the Coakley campaign are to be taken with a grain of salt, perhaps several grains.
I wonder if the irony’s dawned on them yet that they’re getting all emotionally invested in ... another Attorney General!
Even if the recount goes Brown's way, it delays the result long enough for Demcorats to finish their scramble to get something voted on, regardless of the Kirk eligibility controversy.
Coakley is now a spoiler, and she probably wants to maximize the spoil for as long as possible.
-PJ
I think Brown wins by +1 and loses by +Mass liberal courts and a gazillion and one “found” ballots. Honestly, I am thinking that Scott Brown wins but tempering my expectations as: 1) This is Mass and it is liberal. It could come home to Momma. 2) This is Mass with liberal COURTS and they can and will take it upon themselves to tell the voters to eff off.
I think Brown wins by +1 and loses by +Mass liberal courts and a gazillion and one “found” ballots. Honestly, I am thinking that Scott Brown wins but tempering my expectations as: 1) This is Mass and it is liberal. It could come home to Momma. 2) This is Mass with liberal COURTS and they can and will take it upon themselves to tell the voters to eff off.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.