I was watching Morris on Fox the other night. I know a lot of FReepers don’t like him, and his track record can be spotty, but every so often he hits the nail on the head.
Basically, he said Newt is less electable than Romney but real conservatives have a problem with his morality, and Romney seems more electable but people have problems with him also, and Santorum seems to be one of the few conservative choices left.
But he said Gingrich isn’t out, and looks for him to take SC, and feels then that could give him new momentum for FL.
I remember last time around they hit FL like a pack, and then the day before the primary Crist came out with his arm around McCain. And McCain won FL, to my huge chagrin. So while I always disliked Crist, I really disliked him after that.
I’ve never thought IA or NH were that important for Newt. He just has to have a decent showing there. If it’s going to happen for Newt, FL and SC will be when his campaign goes into the lead, builds on that lead, and stays in the lead.