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I don’t think Obama can win for a few reasons (unless Romney is SO incompetent that his campaign implodes, IF he is allowed to be nominee).

1. Gas SUCKS. Economy SUCKS. People vote against candidates because of this.

2. 90% of blacks will vote Obama. However, the numbers of blacks going to the polls will be 50% of 2008.

3. There are seven months until the election and the new media are just beginning to kick the crap out of Obama - people are turning to the new media more and more as they see their values reflected in it.

4. Obama will snap sometime soon, somehow. He’s already made a very dumb mistake by siding on Trayvon, who may be revealed to be the reason for the fight anyway if the grand jury releases a “no bill.” If not, he will be seen as an agitator. The GOP needs to show Obama playing cheap racial politics.

5. Occupy will piss people off even more. All the GOP needs to say is “Obama supports these people.”

6. If the GOP runs with the slogan “Remember what the USA was like before Obama?” they will win.