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To: DJ Elliott

Iraqi Security Force .....soon to be transferred to the IRANIAN SECURITY FORCES.


2 posted on 05/02/2012 7:32:14 PM PDT by TomasUSMC ( FIGHT LIKE WW2, FINISH LIKE WW2. FIGHT LIKE NAM, FINISH LIKE NAM)
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To: TomasUSMC

Maybe, maybe not.

Shia is not a monolithic grouping.
There is an ongoing unofficial war going on between
the Qom School which advocates rule of clergy and
the Karbala School which advocates clergy not corrupting itself by direct involvement in government. It doesn’t get much MSM reporting because it doesn’t fit their propaganda.

Then there is the tribal disputes between Arab and Persian tribal groups which goes back a couple millenia. Persians and Turks look at Arabs as “Dirty little desert thieves” and Arabs know this.

Those factor tend to argue against the MSM myth of Shia unity.
Islam is very divided and other factors play a role.

On the other hand, The ISF would last about 2 weeks against the Iranians if they choose to invade. ISF lacks Tanks, ATGWs, Artillery, AIR DEFENSE and proper logistics.

I give them 2 weeks because of Iranian weaknesses in Bridging and Logistics - not because of Iraqi abilities.

Effectively, the ISF is ROKA circa June 1950 without the terrain advantages...


4 posted on 05/02/2012 7:49:20 PM PDT by DJ Elliott (Montrose Toast Blog)
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