Romney will win North Carolina, Florida, Ohio, Indiana, Virginia. However, he will have a hard time and probably won’t win Pennsylvania who has not gone Republican President since 1988 and with Romney....very doubtful. Santorum would have made Pennsylvania in play. Colorado is the state that Romney MUST win to win the election. If he does not win Colorado, he loses the election. Iowa will go Obama. This is my prediction.....If Romney could spend from now until the election in Colorado and wins it, he wins the election.
Well, we know that PA will go for Obama. They’ve become as dependable for the Dems as CA and NY. But, I predict Iowa goes Republican this year and I think VA is more important than Colorado. But, honestly, I think the GOP takes CO and VA. And, may I add, I predict the GOP will win Michigan and Wisconsin.
DISCLAIMER: All of the above is dependent upon there being NO unforeseen national crisis, terrorist attack or America’s entrance into another war somewhere on the globe.
Lots of Mormons in Colorado. Being Mormon doesn’t make one certain to vote for Romney but it certainly helps even the odds.
Santorum would not have put PA in play, the guy is HATED here for good reason, he wasn’t sent packing by nearly 20 points for no reason folks.
Now, with that said, Romney will likely win PA.. in fact Romney will likely win MI as well.
There are only 2 rust belt states that Obama will carry.. MN and IL.
Obama has utterly alienated and disenfranchised the blue dog democrats that populate the rust belt. Now they aren’t going to all abandon him, but this is a HUGE voting block, and many of them have been utterly betrayed by the democrats and Obama and will not be voting for him in the fall.
The Blue Dogs don’t show up and vote hard for a Democrat, the democrat can’t win any state in the rust belt or south, and Obama and his administration have done everything in their power to spit in the face of this group.
There is no calculus where Obama wins re-election. In fact, I don’t see any way he gets over 42-43% of the national vote at best.