Posted on 09/24/2012 9:41:17 AM PDT by Reaganite Republican
*** PING ***
Oh Lord, please let it be so.
and all that has to happen to prove this true is for the electorate to turn out in massive numbers....O MUST be defeated
Why are the results time-stamped for 5 pm today?
Thanks for the post. I just linked to the article on FB. This should make some heads explode.
I suspect that is close to the truth. I live in a big Yellow Dog Democrat area where Dems have a huge registration advantage and large numbers of them are in unions.
That being said, you rarely hear a good word being said about Obama, rarely see a yard sign or even a bumper sticker. I think a lot of these folks are keeping their mouths shut to keep the shop steward off their backs, but at the end of the day they are quietly gonna vote Romney.
A lot of it frankly is they feel Obama is siding with blacks against everyone else in a potential race war.
Good info. Thanks.
I hope they are right. I mean if the conservatives can get fired up about a chicken sandwich and bullying a conservative & religious business man . . . I can’t imagine how fired up they will be come November 6th. I know I am. I’d crawl over hot coals or broken glass to vote for R/R to oust O.
Enlightening, innit?
This site seems to have taken the propaganda out of it.
That is what we all know is happening, the polls, except for one or two, are propaganda machines owned and skewed to the dark side.
Unfortunately the chart does not include the Gold Standard Rasmussen who has it at Obama +1 over Romney today.
Unskewed is using Rassmussen’s latest party ID numbers to re-weight the other polls. The cautionary note I would throw in there s that Rass has GOP identification at an all-time high, which may be possible, but might not be the best choice for a “planning” number, since it is subject to change. Still, it wouldn’t surprise me that Romney is +5 among actual likely voters, and it is possible that the margin is going to be as high as +8 or more.
It might be interesting to see what Rass’ own likely voter model is, compared to the most recent party ID numbers.
What was party ID ratios in 2010? I’m sure I’ve seen it recently but with all the poll threads and articles, I’ve forgotten.
The only thing I really worry about is the website getting the math right. They are correct that Rasmussen has been consistently more accurate over the years THROUGHOUT the election. For good or ill, then simply report the data.
Ras uses primarily party affiliation polling with a huge database of about 15,000 respondents, and that gives him a 37% republican population with a 4% advantage over the democrats, so it’s approximately 37, 33, 30 (independents).
He also, I read just the other day, adjusts those numbers somewhat with data from previous elections (2010, 2008, 2006, 2004?). I haven’t found what the adjustments are, but my take is that it still results in a republican advantage.
It’s the adjustment that I worry about with the reaganite website. Perhaps he knows what it is.
-—— I suspect that is close to the truth. I live in a big Yellow Dog Democrat area where Dems have a huge registration advantage and large numbers of them are in unions.
That being said, you rarely hear a good word being said about Obama, rarely see a yard sign or even a bumper sticker. I think a lot of these folks are keeping their mouths shut to keep the shop steward off their backs, but at the end of the day they are quietly gonna vote Romney.——
My conclusion as well. I visited Newton, MA (top 5 moonbat town/city), last week, and was amazed at the lack of Obama stickers. I saw ONE, and two Romney stickers. In ‘08, Newton was awash in Zero stickers. VERY telling.
The dems and msm have to jimmy the poll mumbers so the dems can use all the dead peoples names,why else do they fight the photo ID laws.
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