[treetopsandroofs]

Founded in 1999, Intrade is an Irish incorporated service business.

[Sooth2222]

"Event prediction markets are legal in Ireland, where the exchange is headquartered. In the U.S., online gambling is heavily restricted and American banks don’t process credit-card transactions for Intrade, so its users mail checks to the company in Ireland."

http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2012-02-23/intrade-where-politics-meets-the-market

If Intrade had a predictive significance, I think that by raising the barriers to entry for US gamblers, that may now be gone. (Obviously, non-US residents generally wouldn't want a strong and decisive US leader. They'd want a weak leader that their own leaders can manipulate.)

As I remember, the gamblers also predicted the SC Obamacare decision completely wrong.

[zeestephen]

Thanks, tree.

I goofed.

I placed a wager there on George Bush in 2004.

Could have sworn they were in London.

Lesson learned...

After your 60th birthday, always verify your memory!