[billva]

I am confused. There is a Battleground/Political poll showing Obama ahead by one that is posted on Real Clear Politics. I have not seen this poll anywhere except here and the link provided, I didn't see it on the Terrance site. A Google search didn't turn it up either.

Any insight?

[John W]

This is Battleground’s “vote election model” which would have to be the one Brit Hume referenced yesterday on Fox News Sunday.

[ConservativeDude]

Yes.

The aspect of the Battleground Poll that shows obama up 1 is the raw number...sort of like what a few weeks ago we would call “registered voters”.

But the number where Romney is up five, is more like what we would call “likely voters”. The point being, after a series of diagnostic questions related to intensity and resolve to vote, Romney is up big. Enthusiasm is all with Romney.

Of course, it “may” not play out that way. But it probably will.

We have every right to be pleased and not at all surprised with what this Battleground poll shows (in both numbers).