Shouldn’t the speaker candidate’s home stated voted R for POTUS at least once in the last 20 years? This is 2nd in line in POTUS sucession, after all. If he could guarantee flipping CA red in a one-off next Nov, that’d be different, but he can’t.
It should be by popular vote % of the State in the last POTUS election: the top 5 States gets all their reps considered, with those serving/ranking high on committees being given most weight.
All I can say is that whoever we get we will know from day one whether he is for us or agin.