SpaceX has a crew vehicle that will be sent on an unmanned orbital test by the end of the year. It is planned to be sent on a manned mission in March of 2017. Boeing (CST-100) has a manned capsule that is close to completion and also planned to be launched with a crew in early 2017. Sierra Nevada has a winged spacecraft that could be used. Lockheed (Orion) tested their unmanned crew vehicle on a flight into space in 2014. All of these could be ready in a few months if there was an emergency.
We’ll have multiple manned vehicles to choose from, and multiple rockets to launch them. The costs will be lower than ever. They will all be much safer than the Shuttle with much better operational readiness. No other country comes close.
Here is SpaceX’s crewed vehicle (unmanned test) going through a successful pad abort test in May of last year.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1_FXVjf46T8
The launch of the Orion capsule, December, 2014.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UEuOpxOrA_0
I hope you’re right, but you’re a lot more optimistic than I am.
Currently none of these vehicles have a manned launch date before 2017, if then. And both Boeing and Lockheed are dependent on NASA for their launch vehicles. NASA could have their budget cut again at any time and delay these launches for years.
Maybe SpaceX can pick them up. That would be cool.