Yeah, Trump was right around 50 before the debate. Since then his poll numbers have dropped nationally by a couple of percent or more, so his odds of winning have been adjusted downward since more people now intend to vote for his opponent.
also recent polls in NV, CO, NC and FL showed a “hilary surge”.
But even looking closely at 538...the story is sort of the same as it was right before the debate.
Assuming Trump takes NC, FL and NV (he’s pretty close in each, even at 538)....then he has to get Colorado.
Colorado currently seems like a stretch. But if he takes Colorado (provided he also takes NC, FL and NV), then he wins.
Obviously if Trump surprises the lamestream media and wins in PA, WI or MI...well, then, not only does he win but likely Trump landslide (I think if he takes one of those, he takes them all).
“Yeah, Trump was right around 50 before the debate. Since then his poll numbers have dropped nationally by a couple of percent or more, so his odds of winning have been adjusted downward since more people now intend to vote for his opponent.”
You forgot your /sarc tag.
I repeat myself, but
All favorable (for Trump) polls are legit
All UN-favorable (for Trump) polls are rigged
That’s it!
RCP is an AVERAGE of OLD polls. Including anti Trump rigged polls.
WHY would you believe THEM?