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(Vanity) Has anybody taken a look at fivethirtyeight.com? Hillary is below 70% of wining!
fivethirtyeight.com ^ | 11/3/2016 | Nate Silver

Posted on 11/03/2016 8:51:13 AM PDT by Braak

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To: Braak

Trump has been improving on this page for several days.

I suspect Nate is going to have to give him a lead over the weekend.

Scroll down to the “intestine chart” and it looks to me like one more state would give Trump the lead.


21 posted on 11/03/2016 9:01:35 AM PDT by CurlyDave
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To: Braak

She will be in single digits by Monday! LOL.


22 posted on 11/03/2016 9:01:44 AM PDT by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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To: ConservativeDude

Nate only has experience in the last two presidential elections that he forecast correctly. But both were Obama Democrat victories. He has totally missed Trump this election. So I am betting his methodology is flawed as he is relying on biased polls and a preponderance to lean Democrat.


23 posted on 11/03/2016 9:01:45 AM PDT by IVAXMAN
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To: thoughtomator

New computer game:

“Refresh-a-scandal”


24 posted on 11/03/2016 9:01:57 AM PDT by Col Frank Slade
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To: thoughtomator

Think it might be a bit early for a landslide..let’s get 270 first.


25 posted on 11/03/2016 9:02:15 AM PDT by Braak (The US Military, the real arms inspectors!)
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To: IVAXMAN

But even so..with his flawed methods..the numbers are shifting somewhat rapidly towards Trump.


26 posted on 11/03/2016 9:04:03 AM PDT by Braak (The US Military, the real arms inspectors!)
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To: ConservativeDude

Watch the numbers over the weekend; Nate realizes his reputation is on the line, and he won’t have Trump with only a 35% chance of winning as the tsunami comes into view.

Same rule applies for the polling firms. They want to be remembered for the accuracy of that last poll before the election, so many of them will offer some real surprises between now and election day.


27 posted on 11/03/2016 9:04:36 AM PDT by ExNewsExSpook
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To: Braak

Who cares what he thinks? He has been wrong on Trump EVERY SINGLE TIME. Unless some major anti-Trump bomb explodes between now and Monday, it is over. :-)


28 posted on 11/03/2016 9:05:49 AM PDT by GLDNGUN
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To: ExNewsExSpook

More updates: Trump is at 28% in CO..and VA..Hillary has slipped below 80%..


29 posted on 11/03/2016 9:07:08 AM PDT by Braak (The US Military, the real arms inspectors!)
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To: Reagan79

In short, the right is so used to losing that even at the last they will still swear that there has to be a catch.


30 posted on 11/03/2016 9:07:16 AM PDT by VanDeKoik
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To: Braak

Check back in tomorrow.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map_no_toss_ups.html

5 EV away. Clinton in midst of historic freefall with new scandal pouring out daily. Her October Surprise failed and her latest move back to genderism shows she’s got no rounds left to fire.

GAME OVER INSERT INDICTMENT


31 posted on 11/03/2016 9:10:29 AM PDT by thoughtomator (This election is a referendum on the Rule of Law)
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To: Braak

We all know there’s going to be the biggest bombshells yet coming from WikiLeaks and probably the FBI before election day. All the hackers rumors say it will be November 5.


32 posted on 11/03/2016 9:17:12 AM PDT by MNDude (God is not a Republican, but Satan is certainly a Democrat)
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To: Braak

She will be below 0% in 6 days.


33 posted on 11/03/2016 9:19:20 AM PDT by tennmountainman ("Prophet Mountainman" Predicter Of All Things RINO...for a small pittance)
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To: Braak

He has no idea what he’s doing. He’s a Democrat who predicted Obama would win twice. Big deal. He’s been wrong a lot too.


34 posted on 11/03/2016 9:20:04 AM PDT by AndyTheBear
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To: Braak

The “chance of winning” number is not linear to the polls, it’s exponential.

It’s a GIGO problem, based on garbage polls. Plus he adjusts the leader of the polls however he wants. You see that at the state level.


35 posted on 11/03/2016 9:20:09 AM PDT by dynoman (Objectivity is the essence of intelligence. - Marilyn vos Savant)
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To: ExNewsExSpook

spot on


36 posted on 11/03/2016 9:23:59 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: Braak

The tide has already turned.


37 posted on 11/03/2016 9:38:46 AM PDT by AndyTheBear
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