May 2001 - Mayor of Detroit
State Rep Kwame Kilpatrick - 25%
City Council member Gil Hill - 46%
Election Day
Kilpatrick 54%
Hill 46%
July 2000 - US Senate
Abraham - 45
Stabenow - 33
Oct 19
Abraham - 53
Stabenow 34
Election Day
Abraham - 46%
Stabenow - 47%
Michigan Governor - 1990
January
Blanchard - 53%
Engler - 18%
May
Blanchard 50
Engler 30
September
Blanchard 50
Engler 38
Election Day
Blanchard 49.6
Engler 50.4
Polls don't mean a thing.
Sure they do, especially when it comes to fundraising and suppressing/inspiring the base. And while you can always come up with exceptions (polls are only rated at 95% confidence), they are generally a decent way of measuring a candidate's chances. I just wish they weren't so prevalent, and manipulated by the media. [sigh]
Yes, they do.