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TS Gustav & TS Hanna
NOAA/NHC ^ | August 28, 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 08/28/2008 8:25:49 AM PDT by NautiNurse

The 2008 peak of hurricane season is ramping up with Gustav and Hanna. The two storms pose threats to the U.S. At least 22 deaths in Hispanola are attributed to Gustav to date, and a Hurricane Warning is in effect for Jamaica. Tropical Storm Hanna has formed in the Atlantic.

Gustav
Hanna


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Buoy Data: Western Caribbean
                  FL and East GOM
                  Western GOM
East Caribbean
West Atlantic
Florida

Forecast Models

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: Breaking News; Front Page News; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: 2008dncconvention; 2008rncconvention; gustav; hannah; hurricane; predictions; tropical
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To: NautiNurse

A vast majority of storms do curve north and then northeast in the GOM. The pattern is not as favorable this go around for that to happen because of the high pressure position to the north. The jog north last night, probably partly caused by intensification probably makes it a bit harder to go into TX. The model consistency for LA has been something..


501 posted on 08/30/2008 8:45:56 AM PDT by nwctwx
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To: Amelia

In general the EURO is the best model out there. That doesn’t make it right though..


502 posted on 08/30/2008 8:48:53 AM PDT by nwctwx
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To: nwctwx

bttt


503 posted on 08/30/2008 8:50:58 AM PDT by Guenevere
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To: CindyDawg; eastforker

Gustav must be a Nascar fan with all these models predicting a left turn.


504 posted on 08/30/2008 8:57:11 AM PDT by SouthTexas (Invert the 5-4 and you have no rights.)
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To: nwctwx
The model consistency for LA has been something...

Uncanny!

505 posted on 08/30/2008 8:58:43 AM PDT by Petronski (Why is the Democrat party so damn sexist?)
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To: kalee

nope, I must say that I am happy we are not leaving this weekend. Saves hotel rooms for evac needs, and gives us a chance to get woofie on a plane flight. He’s very excited about going to Grandma and Papa’s house and playing ball chase with his Auntie and Uncle Lacey and Toby...and giving kissies to his kitty Aunties.


506 posted on 08/30/2008 9:08:59 AM PDT by Cailleach
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To: rodguy911
Speaking of Nagin, he better hurry on over to the Superdome so he can block Oprah from getting in there and seeing all those dead bodies!!!!!!
507 posted on 08/30/2008 9:09:15 AM PDT by 4everontheRight ("Boy, those French: They have a different word for everything! "- Steve Martin)
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To: 4everontheRight

Do you mean the PooperDome?


508 posted on 08/30/2008 9:12:25 AM PDT by Petronski (Why is the Democrat party so damn sexist?)
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To: 4everontheRight

I hope he stays off the tv this time.


509 posted on 08/30/2008 9:14:32 AM PDT by rodguy911 (LAND OF THE FREE BECAUSE OF THE BRAVE)
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To: Petronski

I think it is further east right now than it should have been... so maybe a track back closer to New Orleans is possible. Still wouldn’t expect the storm to move due north or northeast prior to landfall.


510 posted on 08/30/2008 9:22:46 AM PDT by nwctwx
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To: nwctwx

Thanks for the analysis. Very helpful.


511 posted on 08/30/2008 9:29:19 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Sarah Barracuda!)
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To: Petronski

“They” said that they super dome will not be open for evacuees this time around....


512 posted on 08/30/2008 9:31:52 AM PDT by DrewsMum (Proud member of the Grand OIL Party!)
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To: NautiNurse

If you will read his current blog you will notice that I am not the only one to take him to task on that admonition and description about New Orleans; he essentially apologizes for stepping out of his proper role.

He presents as a professional weather analyst not as a pundit, sociologist, economics expert or politician.

So far he has been very accurate in his storm assesment on Gustav especially the significance and importance of the loop current influence but he should stick to the facts and stay out of the do-gooder kitchen.


513 posted on 08/30/2008 9:39:05 AM PDT by Old Professer (The critic writes with rapier pen, dips it twice, and writes again.)
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To: NautiNurse

Beautiful stadium effect on the eye now as it nears the Isle of Youth.


514 posted on 08/30/2008 9:39:16 AM PDT by nwctwx
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To: Amelia

“There are people annoyed?”

Yeah. Apparently there are some with the “womans’ place is in the home/kitchen attitude”...sickening...


515 posted on 08/30/2008 9:47:47 AM PDT by DrewsMum (Proud member of the Grand OIL Party!)
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To: NautiNurse

Mandatory evacs in S Louisiana parishes.

http://www.wwltv.com/


516 posted on 08/30/2008 9:49:52 AM PDT by abb ("What ISN'T in the news is often more important than what IS." Ed Biersmith, 1942 -)
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To: abb

WWL TV (NOLA) live streaming newscast
http://www.wwltv.com/video/?nvid=57429&live=yes


517 posted on 08/30/2008 9:52:32 AM PDT by abb ("What ISN'T in the news is often more important than what IS." Ed Biersmith, 1942 -)
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To: abb

Many thanks for the valuable links. This routine is all to familiar. One difference this time is mandatory evacuation with 48 hours before anticipated landfall.


518 posted on 08/30/2008 9:55:01 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Sarah Barracuda!)
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To: Amelia
There are people annoyed?

Most of the annoyance I've seen is from disappointed Mitt-heads.

My wife and daughter are supposed to go to a marine biology "camp" on the Gulf the week after next. I hope that all of these turn out to be big disappointments to the cheerleading media.

519 posted on 08/30/2008 9:57:32 AM PDT by Ingtar (Go Palin! Oh, I supppose the other guy too. '08)
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To: nwctwx

the 2pm advisory should bring Gustav close to if not cat 4 strength. seeing 127kt flight level winds now.


520 posted on 08/30/2008 9:57:45 AM PDT by nwctwx
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