Doesn’t this mean that even with a Dem advantage of +4 McCain would likely win? In other words, the Obama “landslide” is going to take a shift of EPIC proportions in just 2 years.
I guess it is possible, but I just can’t buy it.
There definitely is some leeway in there as you point out. I still think the key pivotol voting block is going to be the independents. So many are "undecided" in other polls. My guess is that many will either sit out or overwhelmingly split to McCain.