To: Revolting cat!
I guess I had too much faith in the american people.
In 2004, I took a weighted average of the RCP polls and got 49-47. I Zogby sauced my prediction because I thought Bush was underpolling. Had I evenly allocated my Undecideds I would have gotten 51-49. I also thought Bush would win Pennsylvania and Minnesota in 2004.
2006, I blew it
2008, I thought +7 dem oversampling was unrealistic since historically the most was +4%. I thought the GOP would be fired up to vote against Obama, boy was I wrong.
My NFL predictions this year was horrible.
58 posted on
11/11/2008 7:19:48 PM PST by
Perdogg
(Gov Sarah Palin - President 2012)
To: Perdogg
I guess I had too much faith in the American people.Don't feel bad, so did we all! "The wisdom of the voters", as the WSJ during Bob Bartlett's reign used to call it. HA!
66 posted on
11/11/2008 7:28:14 PM PST by
Revolting cat!
(Everytime they open their mouth they shoot themselves in the foot.)
To: Perdogg
I think we all had part wishful thinking and part thinking the polls were whack. There was no Bradley or PUMA effect. There were more people voting. There was high black and youth turnout. It all went against us. Plus, and I think this was a factor in places - ACORN, the Dem Chicago machine and early voting led to massive fraud.
My football picks stink this year too.
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