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To: hoosiermama

I’m not rooting for either. Don’t like MTB. Just said Borel could do it and it would be an interesting feat.
I’m pulling for Charitable Man and/or Dunkirk as things stand right now. Past Performances will be available sometime this afternoon. Won’t make my final decision until right before the race. Need to see the odds, track conditions and all that. :-)


8 posted on 06/03/2009 10:57:48 AM PDT by gate2wire
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To: gate2wire

Finally got the PPs for the Belmont, and I can see why you like Charitable Man, but, jeez, this is a horse that hasn’t really been talked about much!
Only four races, but very strong ones.
Looking at the EXTRAORDINARILY FAST early pace of the Peter Pan, and how he won it running second and closing 11+ lengths in the stretch, he could just be the pacesetter you think he will be.
That also indicates that Brave Victory is a contender, since he closed a ton off that fast pace, and got third.
He could be one to get second or third in the Belmont.
LOTS of natural closers in this race, but I tend to think the Belmont won’t be won by a closer.
Only two horses I can confidently eliminate from first through fourth superfec finishes are Luv Gov and Miner’s Escape. Too bad lots of horses in this race had such miserable-looking Derby finishes, but that may have been due to the slop. FLYING PRIVATE’s Derby looks particularly pathetic, but I could actually see him getting at least a fourth in the Belmont. I wish Musket Man were running-—then we’d have a REAL race. As it is though, I see this shaping up, with so many closers as an interesting race to watch unfold because the first 3/4 mile (the first HALF) could be taken up with calculations of pace, tentative stalking, positioning, etc.way beyond what you’d see in a normal race. We could well see seven horses closing down the stretch, whips a flailin’.
My picks for the Super Chocolate Candy-Dunkirk-Charitable Man- then for fourth MTB, FP, BV, and SBird.


11 posted on 06/03/2009 8:47:36 PM PDT by supremedoctrine
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