It will fail miserably and she will be a pariah to any GOP or Right leaning person for decades having handed Obummer another 4 years to destroy the country. There is no reason to pull a stunt like this unless she knows she is going to lose in GOP Primaries with base voters.
I don’t think she would do it if the Republican was running strong against Obama, but she might if the Republican was trialing by 30 points. Do not forget the medias ability to destroy the Republican candidate.
She already is a pariah to the GOP Establishment. Haven't you noticed, yet?
That very status of cast-out Republican dissident rebel--dare I say--rogue?--will attract independents and disaffected Democrats like flies to honey, as soon as that differentiation message starts getting out.
All Palin really needs to do to completely blow the doors off of this election cycle is to start seriously campaigning in inner-city Democrat neighborhoods. Those people are desperate for someone with a different message, with underclass credibility (that Palin actually has, thanks to the stupid Mainstream Media), and they're tired of the same old bullshi* from both the D's and the R's.
Make no mistake.
If Palin runs, she will run for, among other things, to destroy and re-make the Republican Party. I don't think she gives a tinker's damn for what the GOP Establishment thinks one way or another.
If she runs, this won't be Politics As Usual. It will be A Whole New Ballgame.
I want her to run. I'm not sure she will.