Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

War Imminent in Straits of Hormuz? $200 a Barrel Oil?
oilprice.com ^ | 29/12/2011 | John C.K. Daly

Posted on 12/29/2011 9:16:44 AM PST by bananaman22

The pieces and policies for potential conflict in the Persian Gulf are seemingly drawing inexorably together.

Since 24 December the Iranian Navy has been holding its ten-day Velayat 90 naval exercises, covering an area in the Arabian Sea stretching from east of the Strait of Hormuz entrance to the Persian Gulf to the Gulf of Aden. The day the maneuvers opened Iranian Navy Commander Rear Admiral Habibollah Sayyari told a press conference that the exercises were intended to show "Iran's military prowess and defense capabilities in international waters, convey a message of peace and friendship to regional countries, and test the newest military equipment." The exercise is Iran's first naval training drill since May 2010, when the country held its Velayat 89 naval maneuvers in the same area. Velayat 90 is the largest naval exercise the country has ever held.

The participating Iranian forces have been divided into two groups, blue and orange, with the blue group representing Iranian forces and orange the enemy. Velayat 90 is involving the full panoply of Iranian naval force, with destroyers, missile boats, logistical support ships, hovercraft, aircraft, drones and advanced coastal missiles and torpedoes all being deployed. Tactics include mine-laying exercises and preparations for chemical attack. Iranian naval commandos, marines and divers are also participating.

The exercises have put Iranian warships in close proximity to vessels of the United States Fifth Fleet, based in Bahrain, which patrols some of the same waters, including the Strait of Hormuz, a 21 mile-wide waterway at its narrowest point. Roughly 40 percent of the world's oil tanker shipments transit the strait daily, carrying 15.5 million barrels of Saudi, Iraqi, Iranian, Kuwaiti, Bahraini, Qatari and United Arab Emirates crude oil, leading the United States Energy Information Administration to label the Strait of Hormuz "the world's most important oil chokepoint."

In light of Iran’s recent capture Full article at: War Imminent in Straits of Hormuz? $200 a Barrel Oil?


TOPICS: Military/Veterans; Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: china; hormuz; iran; israel; oilprices; straitsofhormuz; war
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-32 next last

1 posted on 12/29/2011 9:16:55 AM PST by bananaman22
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

Authorize the pipeline NOW!


2 posted on 12/29/2011 9:18:47 AM PST by grobdriver (Proud Member, Party Of No! No Socialism - No Fascism - Nobama - No Way!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: grobdriver
I wish we had President Perry right now. First, he'd tell the Arabs where to put their oil and start drilling, and refining.

Secondly, he's actually had the experience of flying military planes in and out of Iran. He understands the place.

3 posted on 12/29/2011 9:24:13 AM PST by Conservativegreatgrandma
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

I like these ‘exercises’.

Seems to me that having them demonstrate their weapons abilities and their battle plans out in plain sight is a good thing for us.


4 posted on 12/29/2011 9:24:31 AM PST by UCANSEE2 (Lame and ill-informed post)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

Just read on Breitbart that oil dropped to under $100 a barrel due to supplies growing unexpectedly. Fears of a war?


5 posted on 12/29/2011 9:24:41 AM PST by SkyDancer ("If You Want To Learn To Love Better, You Should Start With A Friend Who You Hate")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

Where is King zero on this?


6 posted on 12/29/2011 9:25:27 AM PST by duckman (Herman 2012 was Zero's worst night mare.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

The Iran-Iraq war of the 1980’s didn’t close the gulf and this will not either.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Earnest_Will


7 posted on 12/29/2011 9:25:32 AM PST by iowamark
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

Just what Obama wanted. An excuse for ultra high oil prices. He WANTS this to happen. And yet, the 99% will continue to pay higher and higher pump prices. Zero must be looking at a huge amount of cash coming his way. His and George Soros. Let’s not forget the puppet master. It is time for Keystone to be built. In fact, it’s way past time. November is coming. Let’s jettison that drek from the Oval Office then.


8 posted on 12/29/2011 9:26:47 AM PST by NCC-1701 (In Memphis on January 20, 2009, pump price were $1.49. We all know what happened after that.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: JoanneSD
Hillary has not sent a stern letter yet.. and as soon as she does Iran will tremble and back off, plus Obama will follow up with a letter all in capital letters, also he will try and arrange a meeting with the Iranian leader, as he said when he was campaigning
9 posted on 12/29/2011 9:28:47 AM PST by JoanneSD (TEA PARTY VERSES TEE TIME)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SkyDancer

The “expectation” is that oil will shoot up. The only way that will happen is if Iran shots their missiles across the gulf into SA. If that happens getting oil will be the least of our problems.


10 posted on 12/29/2011 9:30:14 AM PST by Vermont Lt (I just don't like anything about the President. And I don't think he's a nice guy.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: JoanneSD

I am sure he will use a ton of exclamation points. That will scare them!!!!!!!


11 posted on 12/29/2011 9:31:57 AM PST by Vermont Lt (I just don't like anything about the President. And I don't think he's a nice guy.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: Conservativegreatgrandma

I’m with you!


12 posted on 12/29/2011 9:42:01 AM PST by Coldwater Creek (He who dwells in the shelter of the Most High will rest in the shadow of the Almighty Psalm 91:)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Conservativegreatgrandma

WOOHOO!!! Ever thread can be a Perry campaign thread!!!! Which will also lead to turning it into an illigal immigration thread! Two topics with one highjack! Now to figure out a way to get the BIRTHER/Natural-born Citizen people involved!

Oh, I know! Propose Rubio as Perry’s VP! That’ll do it!


13 posted on 12/29/2011 9:50:54 AM PST by commish (Freedom tastes sweetest to those who have fought to preserve it.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Vermont Lt

I had to laugh when I watched BBC-TV showing Iranian boats (Boston whaler’s with guns)then their ancient jet fighters and then the US aircraft carrier thinking, yeah, right. I’m thinking those Navy pilots saying “Oh Pleeeze, Pleeze” !!!


14 posted on 12/29/2011 9:53:25 AM PST by SkyDancer ("If You Want To Learn To Love Better, You Should Start With A Friend Who You Hate")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: duckman
Where is King zero on this?


15 posted on 12/29/2011 9:59:02 AM PST by Signalman
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Signalman
Our Dear Reader Leader Obama might feel a need to avoid running on the economy during the remainder of his campaign for reelection. Might he or his keepers therefore decide that he needs to do something forceful in foreign/military policy for a change? If so, responding militarily to an Iranian closure of Straits of Hormuz just might be a useful political ploy. If it works, so much the better for him; if it fails, he won't have to worry about the consequences after January of 2013.
16 posted on 12/29/2011 10:12:11 AM PST by DanMiller (Dan Miller)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

No, no, no, this is a smoke screen story.

Babbling.

Oil much higher than $100 just hurts the person in the WH.

Saudis a couple years from pipelines that will circumvent the strait.

U.S. Navy can open it up.

The U.S. media is feeding everyone manure to distract everyone from the worldwide sovereign debt bubble, caused by corrupt politicians and enabled by corrupt big capital.


17 posted on 12/29/2011 10:17:18 AM PST by PieterCasparzen (We have to fix things ourselves.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

Iran has elections coming up. “Imanutjob” is just blustering about closing the Straights of Hormuz to show the Iranian voting public that he’s not afraid of Obama.

He knows that if he were to try doing this, even with the Silkworm missiles at the coast, all 9 of their refineries would be knocked out, their pipelines and power stations bombed, and their navy would be on the bottom, all within a day. A couple of weeks of mine sweeping would reopen the straight.

Iran supplies less than 20% of the world’s oil. I’m sure that other suppliers would be happy to make up the difference. Especially Saudi Arabia and the UAE. They’re REALLY afraid of Iran.

Mark


18 posted on 12/29/2011 10:17:34 AM PST by MarkL (Do I really look like a guy with a plan?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

How does this affect the USCGC vessels currently “training” the Iraqis and providing port security at and around Bahrain?

USCG PATFOR SWA is operating in those waters. Are the island-class patrol boats equipped for defensive engagements with hostile naval forces?


19 posted on 12/29/2011 10:19:58 AM PST by Jim Noble ("The Germans: At your feet, or at your throat" - Winston Churchill)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

Does everyone love us yet?


20 posted on 12/29/2011 10:22:23 AM PST by sappy (criminaldems)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-32 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson