[Ernest_at_the_Beach]

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• steveta_uk says:

  June 29, 2012 at 8:50 am

  Shaun Lovejoy’s comment on Roger’s site is rather good:

  In reference to Roger’s disagreement with

  deterministic models (GCM’s) reproduce only weather and macroweather statistics (they do this quite well)”

  Shaun seems to be saying that GCMs can produce the statistics of “macroweather” quite well, not that they can actually predict or postdict the actual climate at all.

  So there we have it – use GCMs for creating a dummy climate for a fantasy game – that’s fine – but don’t apply the results to any real-world problems or you’ll be screwed.

[Ernest_at_the_Beach]

Nore:

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Joachim Seifert says:

June 29, 2012 at 9:31 am

You expect and get the climate knowing the MACRO-climate drivers….
If you don’t know/guess/model/simulate around….you get nothing but
surprise weather… that is the misery of our times…
but it soon will end….JS