If he gets 5% indies, he should win comfortably. More than that, it's a blowout.
We are still looking at the northwest and southeast counties (former went R in 2008, but with a big falloff from 04; latter are D but with the oil/pipeline issues there should be a real dropoff in Ds there).
Is the Party measurement during Ohio absentee voting based on primary voting history - or is there party registration in Ohio. It’s been so long, I don’t remember.