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To: klimeckg

Real Clear Politics

http://realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html

nine plus D.C. is not Ten states


24 posted on 10/13/2012 11:22:15 AM PDT by SMGFan (SMGfan is not "Sub Machine Gun" fan)
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To: SMGFan

http://www.unskewedpolls.com/


63 posted on 10/13/2012 12:03:02 PM PDT by Salamander (Can't sleep. Clowns will eat me.)
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To: SMGFan; Pollster1; GilGil
Real Clear Politics currently has Romney with 181 EVs either Solid, Likely, or Leans. He needs 89 more to reach 270.

RCP has these states (156 EVs) in the Toss-up column:

Colorado (9)
Florida (29)
Iowa (6)
Michigan (16)
Missouri (10)
Nevada (6)
New Hampshire (4)
North Carolina (15)
Ohio (18)
Pennsylvania (20)
Virginia (13)
Wisconsin (10)

There is no doubt in my mind (being in Missouri) that Missouri (10) should be in the Leans or Likely Romney category. After Missouri, the states about which I am the most optimistic are Florida (29), North Carolina (15), and Virginia (13). If Romney gets those four states (67 total), that puts him at 248.

22 more to go. Where will they come from? Ohio (18) plus any of the others would do it. Other combinations could work also.

For months I have thought Romney will win with at least 290 EVs, possibly up to 320. If he gets 330 or more, that will exceed my wildest expectations. But now I would say it is possible.

78 posted on 10/13/2012 12:17:09 PM PDT by Charles Henrickson (Romney-Ryan 2012)
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