Are Maine and Connecticut in play?
I live in Maine.
Obama won Maine in 2008 by 18 points. Currently, Obama is ahead statewide in Maine by 4 points.
Maine has two congressional districts and, like Nebraska, splits their electoral votes based on who wins each congressional district. If Obama wins southern Maine, the First Congressional district, he (Obama) gets one electoral vote. If Romney wins the northern half of Maine....the Second Congressional district, then Romney gets one electoral vote as well. The winner of the statewide popular vote receives two more electoral votes. Maine has a total of four.
In the Second Congressional district, Romney leads by 5 points.
If the Romney campaign made an effort here, I think they could win the entire state of Maine. So far, I haven’t seen any Obama ads and just one Romney ad, on October 1st. Perhaps Team Romney decided to spend their resources in states with bigger electoral vote totals. Who knows.
On the state level, the GOP did well in Maine in 2010. We elected a conservative GOP TEA Party guy, Paul LePage, as governor. The GOP also won control of the Maine House and the Maine Senate, the first time this has happened since the early 1960’s. Now if we could only replace our elected officials on the federal level.....