I agree that Nevada is toughest on that list. I just don’t feel as optimistic about the Midwest as you. I don’t see us winning WI but losing OH....but hey, I’d really rather you be right than I be right.
The reason I see us winning WI is the Dems threw EVERYTHING at us this Summer w the recall of Gov Walker. It was a dry run for what ground game was needed this Nov. Expect to see nearly the same results for Romney and Thompson. Maybe a little less Like 50-48